RaboResearch - Economic Research

Country Report

Country Report Bulgaria

Bulgaria’s economic and political situation remains tense, as yet another government stepped down, the local financial system was shaken by organised bank runs, and bilateral relations with Russia soured markedly due to the halt of construction of the South Stream pipeline.

Country Report

Country Report Russia

Russia’s economy is slowing down as a result of western sanctions and a drop in oil prices. Its outlook has also deteriorated due to lower investor confidence and a strengthening of the government’s control over the country.

Presentation

Rusland: weet wat er speelt (Dutch)

De EU heeft strengere sancties ingesteld tegen Rusland. In deze presentatie vindt u een beknopt overzicht van de achtergronden, de ontwikkelingen tot nu toe, verwachtingen en potentiële gevolgen voor Nederland. De presentatie wordt regelmatig bijgewerkt.

Country Report

Country Report Turkey

While Turkey’s economic growth started to slow in the second quarter, the central bank faces pressure to reverse its major January interest rate hike ahead of the 2015 parliamentary elections. As expected, Recep Tayyip Erdoğan became Turkey’s first directly-elected president.

Country Report

Country Report Bosnia and Herzegovina

Bosnia-Herzegovina faces major socioeconomic challenges in the aftermath of devastating floods and months of violent protests. The upcoming general elections in October are unlikely to improve the situation, but increased IMF support should alleviate possible financial problems.

Country Report

Country Report Poland

Poland’s economy continued to rebound strongly in the first half of this year, but growth is likely to weaken amid mutual EU and Russian sanctions. As prime minister Tusk heads for Brussels, a new cabinet may be nominated as soon as early September.

Country Report

Country Report Lithuania

Six months ahead of its euro area accession, Lithuania’s economy performs strongly. While reciprocal EU and Russian sanctions are unlikely to derail growth this year, tensions with Russia may result in further boycotts of Lithuanian products.

Country Report

Country Report Macedonia

Economic growth in Macedonia is expected to remain relatively robust, underpinned by recent reform efforts and FDI inflows. However, impediments to EU membership remain.

Economic Quarterly Report

Herstel Nederlandse economie zet voorzichtig door (Dutch)

Ondanks een terugval in het eerste kwartaal van dit jaar zal het Nederlandse BBP-volume in 2014 groeien met naar verwachting ½%. Het herstel van de Nederlandse economie heeft plaats tegen de achtergrond van een zwak groeiende mondiale economie.

Column

De tijdelijke of permanente Matiging (Dutch)

Economen noemen de periode van begin jaren tachtig tot het begin van de financiële crisis ook wel de Grote Matiging: een periode van voorspelbare economische groei, lage volatiliteit en daardoor afnemende risicopercepties. De laatste tijd lijkt er in de wereldeconomie weer iets soortgelijks aan de hand: de nieuwe Grote Matiging. Maar hoe lang gaat die deze keer duren?