RaboResearch - Economic Research

Country Report

Country Report Lebanon

Lebanon’s economy continues to show weak growth in 2014 (3%), being adversely effected by the conflict in Syria. But the banking sector remains healthy and Lebanon still has ample foreign reserves, which mitigates its otherwise high country risk.

Country Report

Country Report Jordan

Jordan’s economic situation is improving. GDP growth has picked up to 3.1% in 2014, driven by lower oil prices and growth in the tourism sector. The greatest risk is still that the conflicts in Syria and Iraq will lead to negative spill-overs.

Country Report

Country Report China

Concerns about a Chinese slowdown have increased, but most indicators suggest that the downturn is concentrated in industry and construction. The direct impact of the stock market rout is limited, but it has damaged the credibility of the crucial reform agenda of the government.

Economic Report

China: onzekerheden nemen toe (Dutch)

De directe impact van de beurscrash en depreciatie op de Chinese economie is waarschijnlijk beperkt, maar de crash tast de geloofwaardigheid van de hervormingsagenda wel aan. De terugval van de groei is volgens de meeste indicatoren vooral geconcentreerd in de industrie, maar de onzekerheden zijn wel groter geworden.

Country Report

Country report Mexico

Economic growth has slowed as a result of low oil prices and tax hikes, but going forward external demand and investment will support growth. Oil reform will further induce FDI but the security situation in some region remains challenging.

Country Report

Country Report Puerto Rico

Puerto Rico’s government is on the very verge of a default. Structural problems, economic shocks and weak public finances have yielded a decade of economic stagnation, outmigration, fiscal deficits and an unsustainable public debt.

Country Report

Country Report Uruguay

After years of very high growth, Uruguay’s economy is “cooling off” as exports and domestic de-mand growth rates are both slowing. Uruguay remains susceptible to weak economic conditions in the near region, in particular in Argentina and Brazil.

Column

Handelsoverschot illustreert hardnekkig probleem (Dutch)

Nederland heeft één van de grootste overschotten in de buitenlandse handel ter wereld. Van de industrielanden staat ons land na China en Duitsland op de derde plaats. En dat niet eenmalig. Nederland kent al meer dan 35 jaar een structureel handelsoverschot.

Country Report

Country Report United Arab Emirates

Although the UAE’s economy is more diversified and less dependent on the oil sector than the surrounding Gulf States, it is strongly affected by the decreasing oil price since the second half of 2014.