RaboResearch - Economic Research

Economic Update Dutch version

Country Update United Kingdom

The 0.2% q-o-q growth in 11Q2 is blamed on a host of ‘special factors’. But this is absurd, in our view. The lackluster post-recession recovery suggests the harsh austerity measures have been very ill-timed.

Economic Update Dutch version

Country Update France

Based on disappointing macro data in 11Q2 and a fall in confidence levels, we have decided to revise our GDP-growth forecast for both 2011 and 2012 slightly downwards. Private investments will continue to play their role as a stable growth driver.

Economic Quarterly Report

Zwakke groei in onzekere tijden (Dutch)

Na een zeer sterk eerste kwartaal van dit jaar viel de economische groei in het tweede kwartaal fors terug. In het derde kwartaal zal de economische groei waarschijnlijk zeer zwak blijven.

Economic Update Dutch version

Country Update Belgium

After a strong 11H1 we expect growth to slow down in the coming quarters. As the growth of world trade is expected to weaken going forward, Belgium’s GDP growth in 11H2 will be weaker than in recent quarters.

Economic Update Dutch version

Country Update France

After the robust growth figure in 11Q1 (+0.9% q-o-q) France’s economy seems to have hit a soft-patch. First of all, the austerity measures have started to take their toll on private consumption.

Economic Update Dutch version

Country Update United Kingdom

Recently released data point to very weak private consumption growth in 2011. Of note is the drop in consumer confidence, due to falling real wages. Inflation remains high and the previous rise in commodity prices will push it further towards 5%.

Economic Update Dutch version

Economic Update Belgium

In spite of the political deadlock, the Belgian economy seems to keep up with the growth pace witnessed in 2010 (+2.1% y-o-y). For the current year we even foresee a slightly higher growth based on the very strong figure in the first quarter (1% q-o-q).