RaboResearch - Economic Research

Special Dutch version

Outlook 2016: Financial Markets

While there will be a devaluation of the Chinese renminbi, the dollar will also become stronger more generally in 2016, due in part to the Fed’s interest rate increases. The ECB is more likely to do the opposite, which will weaken the euro/dollar currency pair further still. Slightly higher capital market rates can be expected though.

Special Dutch version

Outlook 2016: Global Economy

Global growth holds up in 2016, but does not accelerate. With the US poised to hike interest rates, the rest of the world waits anxiously. Normalization of monetary policy poses economic risks, but so does keeping it too loose for too long.

Column Dutch version

Outlook 2016: green surrounded by orange

In an international climate where so many indicators are orange, we should count our blessings for now that the Netherlands is set to be a green oasis both this year and next. Things have looked rather different in recent years.

Economic Update Dutch version

Germany: higher growth, but the risks are increasing

We expect the German economy to grow by 1¾% in 2015 and 2% in 2016. However, an escalation of the refugee problem, spread of the emissions scandal at Volkswagen to other car manufacturers and more negative news on the performance of the Chinese economy could affect the solid base of the German economy.

Economic Quarterly Report

Wereldeconomie vertraagt, Nederlandse economie versnelt (Dutch)

Terwijl de groei van de wereldeconomie dit jaar vertraagt, zal de economische groei in ons land juist iets versnellen. Het Nederlandse BBP groeit dit jaar naar verwachting met 2¼% en deze groei zal in 2016 oplopen naar 2¾%. Onze export en de binnenlandse bestedingen zorgen ervoor dat de groei een brede basis heeft.