RaboResearch - Economic Research

Column

Osama, Obama en waardige Finnen? (Dutch)

Met de bekendmaking door de Amerikaanse president Obama van de dood van ’s werelds meest gezochte terrorist, Osama Bin Laden, ontstak Amerika in een vreugdestemming die ook de financiële markten (even) niet onberoerd liet.

Economic Report

The Rabo Sovereign Vulnerability Index

After the dismal failures of the financial markets to correctly price sovereign risk before the crisis, one must be aware that they can still over-or underprice sovereign risk in some countries.

Economic Update Dutch version

Economic Update Belgium

As the export and the government sector step back gradually this year, all eyes are on the Belgian firms and households. Based on high producer confidence and a rising capacity utilisation rate, we expect businesses to increase their investments this year to expand production capacity.

Economic Update Dutch version

Economic Update Germany

Industrial production rebounded sharply in January and is expected to grow further in the remainder of 11Q1. Producer sentiment has fallen slightly in March.

Economic Update Dutch version

Economic Update Italy

After the further moderation of economic growth in the last quarter of 2010, the Italian economy started the year on a weak note as well. But both the manufacturing purchasing manager index and the rise in new orders point to better days ahead.

Economic Update Dutch version

Economic Update France

France’s GDP grew in 2010 with 1.5% y-o-y and this year we expect a similar moderate growth. Given a high level of producer confidence we foresee a strong increase in private investment

Economic Update Dutch version

Economic Update United Kingdom

The 0.6% q-o-q contraction of GDP in 10Q4 was in a word, disappointing. The harsh winter explains part of the slowdown but there are unfortunately other signs pointing to a struggling recovery. Warmer weather may lead to a temporary boost in GDP in 11Q1, but the growth outlook in the coming quarters is not much brighter.

Economic Quarterly Report Dutch version

United Kingdom: economic snowdown

The economic recovery remains sluggish. Households are facing major headwinds and the export outlook remains uncertain. Yet, the government still plans to go ahead with its consolidation measures while hoping for the best.

Economic Update Dutch version

Economic Update Spain

Spanish GDP in 2010 rose by on average 0.15% a quarter in 2010. Due to a further fall in employment unit labour costs fell. A welcome development, since the economic reco¬very is highly dependent on foreign demand.