RaboResearch - Economic Research

Economic Comment

Eurozone (debt) crisis: Country Profile Ireland

The build-up of large private sector imbalances related to a housing boom and the financial sector were the prime cause of the crisis. Ireland has successfully reformed its banking sector and economic performance is strong, but challenges remain.

Economic Comment

Eurozone (debt) crisis: Country Profile Portugal

Both high private and public sector debt prior to the crisis are to blame for the country’s deep recession and public debt crisis. It remains to be seen whether Portugal’s low growth problem has been addressed, with unemployment and indebtedness still very high.

Economic Report Dutch version

Macroeconomic developments in Europe

We expect growth in Europe to accelerate gradually, although the economy has far from fully recovered from the Global Financial Crisis. Substantial deterioration in the Greek situation and/or the geopolitical conflicts remain downside risks.

Country Report

Country report Portugal

The Portuguese economy returned to growth in 2014 but medium term prospects remain weak. Meanwhile, with an election this year, the reform effort while this year’s budget is based on overly optimistic assumptions.

Economic Comment

Eurozone: kwartaal van grote verschillen (Dutch)

Het licht teleurstellende BBP-cijfer voor de eurozone in het eerste kwartaal van het jaar (+0,2% k-o-k) herbergt grote onderlinge verschillen tussen de lidstaten. De cijfers lijken in sterke mate gekleurd door de impact van het milde weer.

Economic Comment

Een paraplu kopen als de zon schijnt (Dutch)

Vooral uit de eurozone kwam de afgelopen tijd het nodige goede economische nieuws. Dit leidt er echter toe dat Europese beleidsmakers te weinig doen aan de hervorming van instituties en economieën om de eurozone voor te bereiden op slechtere tijden.

Special

Political risks in the eurozone (Special)

The eurozone's south is implementing austerity measures while the north is buying them the time to do so. Economic issues are usually extensively discussed. But what are the political risks that might render this strategy unfeasible?