RaboResearch - Economic Research

Special

Outlook 2013: Emerging Europe

The start of 2012 saw many Emerging European economies fall back into recession. Although the outlook for 2013 is somewhat less bleak, there is little reason for optimism. The region's proximity to the eurozone renders it vulnerable.

Economic Update

Economic Update Emerging Markets

In 3Q12, economic growth slowed in many emerging markets, including China, Mexico and Poland. This triggered the IMF and others to revise their estimates downward. For China, the end of the slowdown seems in sight, but this is not the case for India.

Special

Cooperatives and Rural Financial Development

In concordance with the UN Millennium Development Goals (MDGs), this publication deals with the importance of poverty reduction through agricultural development and the indispensability of access to financial services for rural populations in emerging and developing countries.

Economic Update

Economic Update Emerging Markets

Several emerging markets continue to experience a slowdown in growth. Growth in 12Q2 went down in both Russia and Turkey, while growth in China is likely to slow down further in Q3 as well. Meanwhile, industrial production in Mexico remained strong.

Economic Quarterly Report

Emerging Markets Monitor: Groeivertraging (Dutch)

Na een periode van monetaire verkrapping zijn sinds de tweede helft van 2011 meer en meer opkomende economieën monetair beleid gaan gebruiken om de groei te stimuleren. We verwachten dat er meer nodig zal zijn om de economieën op gang te houden.

Economic Update

Economic Update Emerging Markets

Emerging markets worldwide are affected by the economic fallout of the eurozone crisis and lackluster performance elsewhere. Some are still beating this trend, though, while the economic clouds in Mexico and Poland have silver linings.

Economic Update

Economic Update Emerging Markets

This month we witness that concerns on economic growth have triggered interest rate cuts in countries around the globe. China has posted its lowest economic growth in three years.

Economic Update

Economic Update Emerging Markets

This month’s economic data from emerging markets is rather mixed. While first-quarter economic growth in Mexico and the Philippines surprised to the upside, Brazil’s economy continues to slow down. Argentina might soon face challenging times.

Economic Report

Argentijnse lessen voor Griekenland (Dutch)

Een vergelijking tussen Griekenland anno nu en Argentinië in 2002 levert op dat een euro-exit voor Griekenland op de meeste terreinen veel grotere gevolgen zal hebben dan het loslaten van de dollar-koppeling had voor Argentinië.

Economic Quarterly Report

China: Minimaal bijsturen niet langer genoeg (Dutch)

De Chinese overheid wil een sterke economische vertraging voorkomen en de beleidsmakers in China leken er in te slagen om met minimaal bijsturen inderdaad een zachte economische landing te bewerkstelligen.

Economic Update

Economic Update Emerging Markets

Both growth and currencies appear to be on the slide in emerging markets around the World. In Brazil, China and India, governments are coming to the fore trying to keep growth at reasonable levels. There are a few scattered bright spots though.

Economic Quarterly Report

Economisch Kwartaalbericht - juni 2012 (Dutch)

De wereldeconomie is het jaar redelijk goed begonnen, maar het tweede kwartaal van 2012 leek minder gunstig. Economisch herstel is echter wel sterk afhankelijk van de crisisbestrijding in Europa en het economisch beleid in de rest van de wereld.

Economic Quarterly Report

Emerging markets monitor: Op eigen kracht (Dutch)

Terwijl alle aandacht uitgaat naar de problemen in de eurozone, lijken de opkomende markten zich weinig aan te trekken van het negatieve sentiment. In de nasleep van de kredietcrisis van 2008 waren deze landen redelijk snel weer boven Jan.

Economic Update

Economic Update Emerging Markets

China’s growth has reached its lowest level since the financial crisis. The Reserve Bank of India cut its policy rate by 50bps. Brazil’s central bank also cut its policy rate.

Economic Update

Economic Update Emerging Markets

While growth in Mexico is picking up, Turkey’s economy is finally cooling down and also in the Dominican Republic growth is slowing. Meanwhile, Poland’s growth continues to be driven by consumption.