RaboResearch - Economic Research

Economic Report

Risk of sudden reversal of capital flows

In this study, we take a closer look at the risks stemming from Emerging Markets, especially in light of the risk of a sudden reversal of capital flows.

Country Report

Country Report Peru

Fuelled by higher commodity prices and improved business and consumer sentiment, Peru has recovered vigorously from the global economic crisis. As a result, the economy is now operating close to full capacity.

Economic Quarterly Report

Economisch Kwartaalbericht (Dutch)

Door de voortwoekerende financiële crisis en het mede daardoor traag verlopende economische herstel zijn de vooruitzichten voor de wereldeconomie matig en dus ook die voor een open economie als Nederland. De onzekerheden zijn groot.

Economic Quarterly Report

Twin deficit, dubbel probleem? (Dutch)

De afgelopen jaren is het aantal landen met een twin deficit –een tekort op de begroting en op de lopende rekening van de betalingsbalans– aanzienlijk toegenomen. Een twin deficit is een waardevolle indicator voor problemen.

Country Report

Country Report Ghana

The large macroeconomic imbalances with which Ghana entered the global financial crisis have narrowed recently. However, there are still sizeable vulnerabilities.

Economic Report

Price fighters

Increased demand in emerging markets, combined with a series of failed harvests have sent food prices through the roof.

Economic Quarterly Report

Economisch Kwartaalbericht (Dutch)

Bij nagenoeg alle positieve economische ontwikkelingen benoemen we in dit Economisch Kwartaalbericht telkens een aantal mogelijke risico’s. Veelal gaat het om grote onzekerheden die de hele economische werkelijkheid op de kop kunnen zetten.

Country Report

Indonesia (Country Update)

After growing 4.5% in 2009, the economy is back to its pre-crisis growth level of around 6%. Downside risks to growth are a lower than expected global growth, a reversal of foreign capital flows, and/or a bursting asset bubble.

Country Report

Costa Rica (Country Report)

Thanks to considerable fiscal stimulus, Costa Rica has weathered the global economic crisis and the decline in US demand for its exports relatively well. As stimulus is not yet withdrawn and prospects for the US economy are improving, economic growth for the next years is expected to reach 4.3% on average

Country Report

Dominican Republic (Country report)

After having avoided dipping into recession in 2009 on the back of countercyclical fiscal and monetary stimulus made possible by an IMF stand-by agreement, the Dominican Republic’s economic recovery outpaced most of its neighbours in 2010. I

Country Report

Chile (Country Report)

Chile remains a country characterized by good macroeconomic policies and high quality institutions. The country was hit by a heavy earthquake in early 2010, but the impact of this event on country risk has been fairly limited.