RaboResearch - Economic Research

Economic Report

Latin America: turning the populist page

The past year has been tumultuous for Latin American politics, characterised by a shift to the right in election results and away from populism in policy, and numerous corruption scandals. Current risk levels are likely to linger in the coming year.

Economic Report

Brexit vote lowers economic growth in the eurozone

We expect that UK’s vote to leave the EU will negatively affect economic growth in the eurozone. We believe that the impact in 2016 is rather small, but we lower our growth forecast for 2017 for both the eurozone and the Netherlands by ¼%-point.

Economic Report Dutch version

Why the Trump phenomenon is here to stay

The success of anti-establishmentcandidate statistically explained by stagnant median wages and declining manufacturing employment. When these trends persist, Trump and his successors are here to stay.