RaboResearch - Economic Research

Column

Sub-Sahara Afrika’s lange klim naar welvaart (Dutch)

Het opwaarts potentieel van Sub-Sahara Afrika blijft enorm en de regio heeft verbeteringen laten zien in termen van kindersterfte en democratie. Echter, om het potentieel te verzilveren moeten instituties structureel verbeteren.

Special Dutch version

Sub-Saharan Africa: the Long Road up Mount Progress

Sub-Saharan Africa is facing headwinds from lower commodity prices, China’s slower growth, and normalization of monetary policy in the US. This has made the region’s economic outlook challenging, though not imminently gloomy.

Special Dutch version

Sub-Saharan Africa: struggling, but still growing

Sub-Saharan Africa is facing headwinds from lower commodity prices, a slower growing China and possibly rising US interest rates. This has made the economic outlook gloomier but we still expect the region to grow about 4% in the near future.

Country Report

Kenya: climbing economy, sliding currency

Kenya’s economy continues to grow strongly, but the depreciating currency poses short term risks for inflation and debt service. In the medium term, elections in 2018 could give rise to increased ethnic tensions and result in civil unrest.

Special

Oil: the Good, the Bad and the Ugly

The recent plunge in oil prices will be a net plus for the global economy. The pain will be felt by major oil producers and for some this may cause serious problems. However, we still expect the global economy to gain more than the losers will lose.