RaboResearch - Economic Research

Column

Sub-Sahara Afrika’s lange klim naar welvaart (Dutch)

Het opwaarts potentieel van Sub-Sahara Afrika blijft enorm en de regio heeft verbeteringen laten zien in termen van kindersterfte en democratie. Echter, om het potentieel te verzilveren moeten instituties structureel verbeteren.

Special Dutch version

Sub-Saharan Africa: the Long Road up Mount Progress

Sub-Saharan Africa is facing headwinds from lower commodity prices, China’s slower growth, and normalization of monetary policy in the US. This has made the region’s economic outlook challenging, though not imminently gloomy.

Special Dutch version

Sub-Saharan Africa: struggling, but still growing

Sub-Saharan Africa is facing headwinds from lower commodity prices, a slower growing China and possibly rising US interest rates. This has made the economic outlook gloomier but we still expect the region to grow about 4% in the near future.

Country Report

Kenya: climbing economy, sliding currency

Kenya’s economy continues to grow strongly, but the depreciating currency poses short term risks for inflation and debt service. In the medium term, elections in 2018 could give rise to increased ethnic tensions and result in civil unrest.

Country Report

South Africa: exacerbating structural problems

South Africa’s growth outlook is held back by low investor confidence and structural weaknesses in areas such as infrastructure, labour and competition. Neither of these are likely to be addressed in the current financial and political climate.