RaboResearch - Economic Research

Economic Comment

Eurozone growth accelerates in the first quarter of 2019

Eurozone economy grew by 0.4% quarter-on-quarter in the first quarter of 2019. Domestic demand in the Eurozone is expected to be the main driver as external demand was weak. Italy climbed out of recession in the first quarter of 2019, while Spain remains the Eurozone’s bright star.

Economic Report

Recession United States on the radar

Our early warning system based on the yield curve continues to point at a recession in the United States in the second half of 2020. However, our ‘recession radar’ suggests that the US economy is not in recession yet and is not likely to be in the near term.

Economic Quarterly Report

Eurozone: waar is de vraag gebleven? (Dutch)

We verwachten dat de economie in de eurozone in 2019 met 1,3 procent groeit en in 2020 met 1,5 procent. De groei zal worden gedreven door de binnenlandse bestedingen. De belangrijkste risico’s blijven de Brexit en een verdere escalatie van de handelsspanningen tussen de VS en de EU.