RaboResearch - Economic Research

Economic Comment

Trump: graven de Democraten een kuil voor zichzelf? (Dutch)

Zolang voldoende Republikeinen in de Senaat achter Trump blijven staan, wordt hij niet uit zijn ambt gezet. De start van het impeachment-onderzoek door de Democraten in het Huis van Afgevaardigden kan echter wel een averechts effect hebben op de kans voor de Democraten om de presidentsverkiezingen te winnen.

Economic Comment

Brexit Update - Blame games

The EU and the UK are treading carefully to avoid any blame when things go wrong, but it remains highly unlikely that a deal will be reached in the next two weeks. This means that there will be yet another showdown in Westminster.

Economic Comment

Brexit Update - Hurricane Brexit

A lot has happened since we’ve published our previous Brexit Outlook. The clash between the British Government and Parliament was entirely expected, but eventually culminated into an unprecedented series of dramatic events.

Economic Update

United Kingdom: Brexit hangover

Brexit will get messier under Boris Johnson’s leadership and the British economy is already suffering from the Brexit uncertainty. The economic outlook for 2019 is modest and shadowed by the prospect of a hard Brexit on 31 October.

Economic Comment

Brexit update – Brexit 2.0

Boris Johnson is the new British Prime Minister and his team of hardcore Brexiteers points towards a tougher stance on Brexit under his leadership. Brexit is just about to get messier in the coming months.

Economic Comment

China: Stimulus prevents further slowdown in growth

The lower GDP growth in the second quarter is in line with our expectations of a gradual economic slowdown. On the back of more government stimulus, June headed towards a slight recovery on several fronts. The question is not if, but when (trade) tensions with the US will flare up again.

Economic Comment

Brexit Update: Game over?

Theresa May has said she will resign on 7 June, after her last attempt to save the EU-UK deal failed to garner sufficient support last week. A tougher stance on Brexit and more political turmoil are likely to follow.