RaboResearch - Economic Research

Economic Report

India looking East

India has never been a big player in international trade. Nevertheless, over the past twenty years, the country has developed its trade relations. India started in 1991 with its ‘Look East’ policy, trying to gain better access to regional markets in Asia.

Country Report

Cameroon (Country report)

In the past, Cameroon benefited from being a small oil-exporting economy (10% of GDP, but 40% of exports and fiscal revenues in 2008). Oil exploitation created fluctuating trade and budget surpluses and attracted inward foreign investments.

Economic Quarterly Report

Economisch herstel zichtbaar (Dutch)

In de afgelopen maanden is het economisch herstel in veel opkomende markten ingezet. Ingrijpen van de overheid, een banksysteem dat verhoudingsgewijs weinig is geraakt door de financiële crisis en stijgende grondstofprijzen helpen daarbij.

Economic Report

The return of IFI lending

The global financial crisis has brought the IMF, the World Bank and other International Financial Institutions (IFI’s) back to the spotlights. With large emergency loan packages, they have helped countries to deal with the severe economic shocks.

Country Report

Malaysia (Country report)

The global recession in 2009 hit Malaysia via the trade channel. The highly export dependent economy experienced a steep decline in external demand for its export products last year.

Economic Report

Chili: nature strikes

One of the strongest earthquakes to ever hit Chile occurred on 27 February 2010. The country’s infrastructure sustained massive damage and the death toll is currently estimated around 600. As a result of the earthquake, economic activity will be subdued in the short term.

Economic Report

Chili: a step to the right

Since the return to democracy in 1990, the center-left oriented coalition, the Concertación, had won every presidential election. In fact, Piñera is the first right-wing candidate to win a democratic presidential election since Jorge Allisandri Rodríguez won the presidency in 1958.

Economic Comment

Voedselzekerheid in 2050: De opgave (Dutch)

Voedselzekerheid is een belangrijke randvoorwaarde voor een stabiele economische ontwikkeling en voor de sociale rust in de wereld. Een van de uitdagingen van de 21e eeuw is om voldoende voedsel te produceren voor een steeds grotere wereldbevolking.

Country Report

Sri Lanka (Country report)

The end of the civil war has boosted long-term economic prospects for Sri Lanka. The economy is expected to grow over 6% in 2010. However, the humanitarian situation remains poor since the government has failed to address the grievances of the Tamil minority.

Special Dutch version

Outlook 2010: globalisation at a crossroads

With regard to globalization, we find ourselves at a crossroads in a number of areas. In this special report we focus on the future - even more so than in our economic Outlook for 2010 and beyond - and we describe the dynamic field in which changes to the economic and political world order are currently taking place.

Economic Report

Uncovering country risk in bond spreads

When assessing risk in emerging markets, rating agencies used to apply the theory of the sovereign ceiling. This report highlights the reason behind the rating agencies dropping this theory. Furthermore, it shows why investing in local companies at times is less risky than investing in the sovereign.

Economic Report

HIPC debt relief: less debt, more growth and development?

In the last few years Sub-Sahara Africa has experienced the strongest economic growth in more than thirty years. This report explains how the so-called HIPC debt relief initiative has contributed to this reversal of economic fortunes. While the debt relief itself was useful, it is the conditions that were attached that made the real difference.

Economic Report

Wie is er bang voor sovereign wealth funds? (Dutch)

Staatsinvesteerders uit Azië en het Midden-Oosten hebben steeds grotere sommen geld te beleggen. En dat doen ze steeds vaker in Westerse, beursgenoteerde ondernemingen. Tegelijkertijd zijn de fondsen nauwelijks te controleren. Die combinatie, en de vrees dat politieke overwegingen een rol gaan spelen bij de investeringsbeslissingen, jaagt sommigen angst aan.