RaboResearch - Economic Research

Country Report

Spain (Country Update)

The Spanish government is seriously tackling its financial and economic issues. But the country is currently in a perfect storm of recession, missed budget deficit targets, rising government debt and rising opposition to government policies.

Country Report

Slovenia (Country Update)

Slovenia is currently experiencing a double-dip recession as a result of fiscal consolidation and banking sector problems. Implementation of the necessary reform plans is still at risk, as pressure from the public and trade unions remains high.

Country Report

Ireland (Country Update)

Economic stabilisation and restructuring and recapitalisation of the banking sector have pushed government bond yields for Ireland below those of Italy. But uncertainty remains high, with the economic recovery still far from complete.

Country Report

Italy (Country Update)

Italy is taking significant steps to reduce the budget deficit and reform the economy. But the former is being undermined by the return of recession while on the reform front much still needs to be done.

Country Report

Portugal (Country Update)

Although Portugal has been very successful in abiding by the conditions of the IMF/EC/ECB troika and therefore has received official financial assistance without delay, the economic and financial situation remains very precarious and uncertain.

Country Report

Malta (Country Report)

Despite the fact that Malta fell back into recession this year, its economy and banking sector have been relatively resilient over the past years. Malta is expected to record modest growth for 2013.

Country Report

Cyprus (Country update)

The Cypriot economy is deteriorating at an alarming speed. As the country's large financial sector is heavily exposed to Greek debt, its banks have been struggling to remain solvent.

Country Report

Lithuania (Country report)

Lithuania's recovery will slow in 2012, as domestic demand is still recovering and eurozone demand will be slow, reducing the growth of Lithuania's export sector.

Country Report

Czech Republic (Country update)

The Czech Republic entered its second recession in three years. After the global financial crisis caused the economy to contract by 4.7% in 2009, it has failed to make a full recovery.

Country Report

Austria (Country report)

The pace of Austria’s export-led economic recovery is likely to slow down in the coming quarters thanks, in part, to the challenging external environment. The risks to this outlook are considered to be broadly balanced.

Country Report

Belgium (Country report)

The new government has immediately announced a credible austerity package. Although political instability is not off the table for the coming years, the financial position of the private sector and the institutional power are strong.

Country Report

Denmark (Country report)

Barely recovered from the house price correction and the deep 2009 recession, the Danish economy is now hampered by eurozone headwinds. Despite the monetary and fiscal stimulus we expect only meager growth going forward.

Country Report

Italy (Country report)

The Italian economy fell back into recession in the second half of 2011. We expect the recession to continue in the first half of 2012 and for unemployment to rise further.

Country Report

Spain (Country report)

The Spanish economy is back in recession and government austerity measures will ensure that the economic contraction continues throughout the year. There is a clear risk that more austerity will further deepen the recession.

Country Report

Ireland (Country report)

Even though the worst of the recession is over, the Irish economy is set for a very slow recovery this year and next. Recapitalization and restructuring of the banking sector is well under way. But further unforeseen losses cannot be excluded.