RaboResearch - Economic Research

Country Report

Country Report Sint Maarten

St. Maarten has experienced moderate economic growth in 2013. One of St. Maarten’s challenges remains building up an institutional framework, as it currently lacks the human and financial resources to develop a good functioning administration.

Country Report

Country Report Curaçao

Curaçao had a slightly disappointing economic performance in 2013. However, both Curaçao’s external position and public finances improved. Nevertheless, these remain important weaknesses.

Economic Comment

Argentina defaults again

This week, Argentina was unable to reach an agreement with the holdout creditors from the 2001 default. In effect, this means that the sovereign has now defaulted on its debt obligations for the second time this century.

Economic Comment

Wereldeconomisch commentaar: een betere tweede helft? (Dutch)

Nadat het eerste kwartaal van dit jaar in economisch opzicht voor veel landen tegenviel, wordt de hoop gevestigd op een betere tweede helft. Per saldo verwachten we dat de hoop werkelijkheid wordt. Echter niet alle landen laten hetzelfde beeld zien.

Country Report

Country Report Colombia

Colombia is moving closer to achieving peace with the central FARC-command, after president Santos won the second round of the presidential elections. Meanwhile, the economy is booming, presenting both challenges and opportunities.

Economic Quarterly Report

Herstel Nederlandse economie zet voorzichtig door (Dutch)

Ondanks een terugval in het eerste kwartaal van dit jaar zal het Nederlandse BBP-volume in 2014 groeien met naar verwachting ½%. Het herstel van de Nederlandse economie heeft plaats tegen de achtergrond van een zwak groeiende mondiale economie.

Column

De tijdelijke of permanente Matiging (Dutch)

Economen noemen de periode van begin jaren tachtig tot het begin van de financiële crisis ook wel de Grote Matiging: een periode van voorspelbare economische groei, lage volatiliteit en daardoor afnemende risicopercepties. De laatste tijd lijkt er in de wereldeconomie weer iets soortgelijks aan de hand: de nieuwe Grote Matiging. Maar hoe lang gaat die deze keer duren?

Country Report

Country Report Mexico

Economic growth in 14Q1 was slightly disappointing, but Mexico’s economic outlook is improving considerably, as almost all intended structural reforms are approved. The most important one –energy- is likely to be approved soon.

Country Report

Country Report Aruba

Although Aruba’s economy grew again in 2013 its economic outlook remains bleak. Government finances in particular are a reason for concern, as Aruba’s deficit is still large, its debt level high and control over public finances weak.

Country Report

Country Report The Bahamas

The Bahamas is a small yet rich island economy that faces challenges in the area of fiscal consolidation and generating GDP growth.

Country Report

Country Report Suriname

The Surinam economy is growing robustly, and growth is estimated at around 4% in 2014 and 2015. President Bouterse remains the favourite for the 2015 presidential elections, despite tensions within his coalition.

Country Report

Country Report Argentina

The devaluation of the peso in January is likely to spur already high inflation in Argentina to over 30% and economic growth is expected to contract slightly in 2014. A new economic team has improved monetary policy.

Country Report

Country Report Paraguay

Economic growth is expected to remain robust at around 5% in 2014. Meanwhile, relations with the Mercosur countries are improving after tensions had increased in 2012. Similarly, the fiscal position is set to improve after deteriorating in recent years.