Economic Report
After being suspended for about a year, the debt limit returned on March 2. However, the Treasury Department will take extraordinary measures that could delay a federal government default to September or October.
Special
The recent flattening of US treasury yield curve has activated our early warning system. Our model now gives a 69% chance of a recession by May 2020 and is increasingly pointing at 2020 as the year of the next recession.
Special Dutch version
As of January 20, Donald J. Trump is President of the United States. In this Special we sketch the changes in economic policy that we should expect in the coming years, in particular in the areas of fiscal stimulus, trade policy, and energy policy. We also look at effects on US public debt sustainability, and market implications.
Economic Comment
Donald Trump heeft de Amerikaanse presidentsverkiezingen gewonnen. We geven antwoord op de belangrijkste vragen over zijn economische beleid als nieuwe Amerikaanse president.
