RaboResearch - Economic Research

Economic Quarterly Report

Recovery Western economies remains slow

After a slowing of growth in 2012, growth in the global economy will pick up slightly next year. The recovery from the recession in 2008/2009 will however be extremely slow in Europe, the US and also Japan.

Economic Quarterly Report

Global Economic Outlook: Growth differences

In many regions, real GDP growth slowed in the second quarter of 2012 compared to the first quarter. Sentiment indicators moreover as yet show no sign of an improvement. We are forecasting only a slight acceleration for next year to 3¾%.

Economic Quarterly Report

UK: Recession 'made in Downing Street'

UK's economy has been going sideways since mid-2010 owing to harsh fiscal austerity measures. The release of 12Q1 GDP figure showed that the country entered a technical recession. Going forward, economic recovery is likely to remain tepid.

Economic Quarterly Report

Global Economic Outlook: Policy makers rule

The global economy started 2012 reasonably well. We expect there to be a new mild upturn in growth in the second half of the year. But this depends very much on the efforts to deal with the crisis in Europe and economic policy elsewhere in the world.

Economic Quarterly Report

Focus: The grass is greener to the East

As a result of its open character, the Dutch economy fluctuates along with the international economic cycle. The Netherlands is now again in recession, while GDP in Germany continues to grow. Is the grass greener in the East?

Economic Quarterly Report

Global Economic Outlook: Cautious optimism?

The global economy is performing better than most feared. But there are still many headwinds that can choke the recovery. The good news is that the downside risks may be mitigated by adequate fiscal and monetary policy measures.