RaboResearch - Economic Research

Economic Report

The race to predict India’s economic data

We show that so-called nowcasting can be used to gauge economic growth in India more accurately. We correctly predicted India’s recent slump in economic activity. Moreover, nowcasting can also be used to validate recent claims that India’s GDP figures are overestimated. We find not ground for these claims.

Column

Mist ondernemend Nederland de boot naar India? (Dutch)

Van de historisch sterke handelsbetrekkingen tussen Nederland en India is vandaag de dag nog maar weinig over. Nederlandse ondernemers laten daarmee kansen liggen in een land wat de komende decennia zal verrijzen als belangrijkste economie ter wereld.

Economic Report

Is India slipping back into bad habits?

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has increased its monetary tap to meet government funding needs. Although the magnitude is nowhere near bad practices around the globe, the option of debt monetization remains tempting, whereas the Indian government should implement reforms instead.

Economic Report

Very dangerous cars

Trump received the report on the investigation into whether automotive imports are a threat to the US national security. The conclusions have not been made public. Trump now has 90 days to decide – depending on the conclusion of the report – whether or not to impose tariff.