Economic Report
The great Brexit gamble paid off
The great Brexit gamble paid off: Prime Minister Johnson got his majority in the House of Commons and he will now be able to ‘get Brexit done’. The UK will leave the EU by January 31.
RaboResearch - Economic Research
98 Publications
Special
The WTO dispute settlement crisis. Back to the GATT regime?
Since 2017 the US has blocked the appointment of new members of WTO’s Appellate Body, which per 11 December is unable to fulfil its tasks. Consequently, trade disputes would again have to be resolved according to the GATT regime, means trade rules will be dictated by the most powerful countries.
Special
The Great Brexit Gamble
Even though PM Johnson’s Brexit deal would only lead to limited checks, we don’t expect the EU to accept his proposal. They are treading carefully to avoid any blame and count on the UK Parliament to prevent a no-deal Brexit on October 31.
Economic Report
Brexit Update - Extension rebellion
Whilst ‘Super Saturday’ turned into a Brexit anti-climax, it also became clear that Prime Minister Johnson actually might have the numbers to get his deal through. This may change when the deal will be scrutinized.
Column
Licht aan het einde van de Brexit-tunnel? (Dutch)
Deze week staat weer volledig in het teken van Brexit. Het Verenigd Koninkrijk en de EU intensiveren de gesprekken in aanloop naar de Europese Raad op 17 en 18 oktober. Komt er een akkoord, of gaan we toch weer verlengen?
Economic Comment
Brexit Update - Blame games
The EU and the UK are treading carefully to avoid any blame when things go wrong, but it remains highly unlikely that a deal will be reached in the next two weeks. This means that there will be yet another showdown in Westminster.
Economic Comment
Brexit Update - Hurricane Brexit
A lot has happened since we’ve published our previous Brexit Outlook. The clash between the British Government and Parliament was entirely expected, but eventually culminated into an unprecedented series of dramatic events.
Special
Brexit Outlook: Take control!
Prime Minister Johnson has asked the Queen to suspend Parliament. While it was an explosive move, confrontation between Johnson and Parliament has always been inevitable. The EU has been betting on the UK parliament to intervene, but the window has narrowed. The risk of a no-deal Brexit is obviously rising, but secondary to the risk of a general election.
Column
De Brexit omzeilen via een veerdienst van Schotland naar Eemshaven (Dutch)
Schotland onderzoekt de mogelijkheden voor een veerdienst met de Eemshaven om vertragingen aan de grens door de naderende, mogelijk harde, Brexit te voorkomen. Dit biedt een welkome kans voor de Noord-Groningse economie.
Column
Johnson: populisme van de bovenste plank (Dutch)
De komende maanden zullen weer in het teken komen te staan van Brexit. Weet Boris Johnson het parlement naar zijn hand te zetten?
Dutch Housing Market Quarterly Dutch version
House price increase in Amsterdam flattens again, rest of the country follows
The rise in house prices is slowing, as expected. Whereas house prices rose 9 percent on average in 2018, we expect an average rise of 6 percent in 2019 and 4 percent in 2020. Sales are expected to stabilize around 205,000.
Economic Update
United Kingdom: Brexit hangover
Brexit will get messier under Boris Johnson’s leadership and the British economy is already suffering from the Brexit uncertainty. The economic outlook for 2019 is modest and shadowed by the prospect of a hard Brexit on 31 October.
Economic Comment
Brexit update – Brexit 2.0
Boris Johnson is the new British Prime Minister and his team of hardcore Brexiteers points towards a tougher stance on Brexit under his leadership. Brexit is just about to get messier in the coming months.
Economic Report
Brexit update - Johnson in the lead
Conservative MP’s have pre-selected Johnson and Hunt as the candidates the party member can vote for to become the new PM. Johnson has so far been in the lead, which spells a lot of trouble for Brexit.