RaboResearch - Economic Research

Video

Video - India: Economic Outlook 2020

Rabobank economists Raphie Hayat and Hugo Erken discuss their economic outlook for India in 2020. Elements that are elaborated on are the economic growth forecasts, structural issues in the economy, fiscal and monetary policy options and the forecasts for the Indian rupee.

Economic Comment

Spanish elections: Día de la Marmota

Spain’s elections failed to solve the deadlock in parliament. Scraping a majority will be extremely difficult. The stalemate will not send the economy into crisis, but it prevents the economy and public finances from being prepared for one.

Economic Comment

Trump: graven de Democraten een kuil voor zichzelf? (Dutch)

Zolang voldoende Republikeinen in de Senaat achter Trump blijven staan, wordt hij niet uit zijn ambt gezet. De start van het impeachment-onderzoek door de Democraten in het Huis van Afgevaardigden kan echter wel een averechts effect hebben op de kans voor de Democraten om de presidentsverkiezingen te winnen.

Economic Comment

Brexit Update - Blame games

The EU and the UK are treading carefully to avoid any blame when things go wrong, but it remains highly unlikely that a deal will be reached in the next two weeks. This means that there will be yet another showdown in Westminster.

Economic Comment Dutch version

China: Domestic cooling down while external heat rises further

Most recent monthly figures confirm our view of a continuous slowdown of economic growth. More stimulus is on the cards, but this will be less massive and more targeted than during previous episodes. The trade war developments can be characterized by ‘one step forward, two steps back’.