RaboResearch - Economic Research

Country Report

Rwanda (Country report)

With modest inflation and a stable currency, the prospects for Rwanda’s economy remain favorable. However, social unrest could arise resulting from the authoritarian regime of president Kagame.

Country Report

Kenya (Country report)

Kenya has regained a sense of political stability after the political turmoil that followed general elections in 2007. In August 2010, a new constitution was adopted in a peaceful vote. However, the run-up to new general elections at the end of 2012 poses a major threat to Kenya’s fragile stability

Country Report

Ghana (Country report)

In a region where political stability is hard to come by, Ghana stands out. The country is one of the most stable democracies and has one of the lowest corruption rates in Sub-Saharan Africa.

Country Report

Mauritius (Country report)

Mauritius is a politically and socially stable island in the Indian Ocean. The government has been able to generate an average growth rate of 4%, and to lift many out of poverty since gaining independence from the UK in 1968. The stability is the biggest asset of the country.

Country Report

Country Report Ghana

The large macroeconomic imbalances with which Ghana entered the global financial crisis have narrowed recently. However, there are still sizeable vulnerabilities.

Economic Report

Price fighters

Increased demand in emerging markets, combined with a series of failed harvests have sent food prices through the roof.

Country Report

Angola (Country update)

Angola’s oil-based economy stands to benefit from the recent increase in oil prices. Oil exports account for 96% of total exports and generate 90% of all tax income. Higher oil prices will thus help Angola to recover from the global crisis that hit the country in 2008 and 2009. Consequently, we expect GDP growth to reach 7.9% in 2011 (from 1.7% in 2010).

Country Report

South Africa (Country report)

South Africa’s economy recovered, after a year-long recession in 2009. In 2010, the economy grew by 2.8%. Growth was largely demand driven, with an increase in both external and domestic demand fuelling growth in, among others, the manufacturing sector.

Country Report

Botswana (Country report)

Botswana’s economy is recovering from the global crisis that especially hit its export sector. In 2011, the economy is expected to grow by 6%, from 7.2% in 2010. In addition, the current account deficit will shrink to 0.1% of GDP in 2011 (from 2.4% of GDP in 2010), signalling an increase in external demand for Botswana’s diamond exports.

Country Report

Cameroon (Country Report)

Cameroon performs well on almost all macroeconomic indicators: inflation is low, the fiscal and current accounts are almost in balance and debt levels are sustainable. Nonetheless, GDP growth is low at 2.8% (2010).

Country Report

Nigeria (Country report)

In spite of a growing non-oil economy, Nigeria’s economic development is still very much dependent on developments in the oil sector. Since oil revenues account for 89% of total exports, the economy is extremely vulnerable to oil price shocks