RaboResearch - Economic Research

Country Report

Philippines: strong economic growth amidst upcoming elections

The May 2016 presidential elections will help determine whether the recent favourable developments in terms of governance will continue. Growth has remained rather high, and is expected to continue to do so in the near term.

Country Report

China: turbulence on financial markets accompanied by fall of FX reserves

Turbulence on financial markets has been accompanied by a strong fall of China’s still sizable stock of FX reserves. Growth in industry and construction took a hit in 2015, but service sector growth appears to have remained stable. China’s economic challenges are big.

Country Report

Thailand: heading for extended military rule

Thailand is heading for extended military rule, as the National Assembly rejected the proposal for a new constitution paving the way to early elections. Economic growth remains relatively weak, forcing the government to revert to populist economic policies.

Country Report

Country Report China

Concerns about a Chinese slowdown have increased, but most indicators suggest that the downturn is concentrated in industry and construction. The direct impact of the stock market rout is limited, but it has damaged the credibility of the crucial reform agenda of the government.

Country Report

Country Report Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan had a less fortunate economic year in 2014, caused by the decreasing oil price in the second half of last year and the negative wealth effects as a result of the tenge devaluation. For 2015, substantially lower economic growth and twin deficits are expected.

Country Report

Country Report Philippines

The Philippine government has recently managed to get a budget approved that will further increase investment in infrastructure and public service delivery. Growth prospects remain relatively good.

Country Report

Country Report China

Housing market weakness has lowered China’s GDP growth, but China has so far avoided a hard landing. One year after the Third Plenum, really big economic reform steps still have to be made.