RaboResearch - Economic Research

Country Report

Rwanda (Country report)

With modest inflation and a stable currency, the prospects for Rwanda’s economy remain favorable. However, social unrest could arise resulting from the authoritarian regime of president Kagame.

Country Report

Mexico (Country update)

Mexico's economy faced increasing headwinds this year, as economic growth in the US, it's main trading partner, slowed down markedly.

Country Report

Panama (Country update)

Benefitting from a large-scale public investment program, Panama’s economy will likely withstand the current global economic slowdown and continue to grow solidly. While government finances remain stable, challenges might arise over the medium-term.

Country Report

Peru (Country report)

Peru’s presidential elections were won by former left-wing radical Ollanta Humala. However, both the policies and the most key economic decision makers of the new government have a very moderate and pragmatic character.

Country Report

Russia (Country report)

The Russian economy remains too reliant on its oil and gas sector while corruption remains deeply embedded. The biggest change since our May 2011 update is the announcement that PM Putin will run for president.

Country Report

Slovenia (Country report)

Owing to its close ties with neighboring Italy and various domestic problems, Slovenia has been suffering from contagion from the euro area debt crisis. Its economic recovery remains highly export-dependent on the back of a sizable banking crisis.

Country Report

Algeria (Country update)

Algeria is experiencing continuing social unrest, although at a smaller scale than many other countries in the region. Meanwhile, the economy continues to grow at about 4% of GDP a year.

Country Report

Argentina (Country Report)

On 23 October 2011, Cristina Fernández de Kirchner won the presidential elections convincingly with 54% of the votes. Her party also regained the majority in congress which it lost in 2009. This will give Fernández a strong position in the coming years.

Country Report

Country Report Saudi Arabia

The Saudi Arabian economy is highly reliant on its oil resources. As it possesses a quarter of the world’s proven oil reserves and is the world’s only “swing producer” since it has considerable capacity to extract more barrels from its sources, the country plays an important international role.

Country Report

Qatar (Country update)

Qatar is a small Gulf state with only 0.9m inhabitants, who enjoy one of the world’s highest GDP per capita due the country’s vast hydrocarbon resources. The domestic social situation in Qatar is stable, despite fear of an Arab Spring revolution.

Country Report

India (Country update)

India is showing very robust economic growth, even though it is easing this year compared to last year. The economy is estimated to expand by 7.9% in 2011.

Country Report

Kenya (Country report)

Kenya has regained a sense of political stability after the political turmoil that followed general elections in 2007. In August 2010, a new constitution was adopted in a peaceful vote. However, the run-up to new general elections at the end of 2012 poses a major threat to Kenya’s fragile stability

Country Report

Poland (Country report)

Economic growth is expected to be robust at around 4% this year. However, the risks of economic headwinds are rising – EU slowdown, strong Swiss franc, and fiscal consolidation.

Country Report

Country Report Ghana

The large macroeconomic imbalances with which Ghana entered the global financial crisis have narrowed recently. However, there are still sizeable vulnerabilities.

Country Report

Cyprus (Country report)

Cyprus looks well on its way of becoming the fourth euro zone country that needs a rescue package. The destruction of a large power plant in July has resulted in an energy crisis with a severe impact on economic growth and the government budget.