RaboResearch - Economic Research

Special

The US-China trade war in the rerun

The US has raised import tariffs from 10% to 25% on 200bn worth of Chinese goods shipped to US shores and China has vowed to retaliate. In this report, we assess the economic impact of these measures, as well as a scenario where the US-China trade war fully escalates.

Special

Re-assessing the US-China trade war

This Special re-assesses the economic impact of the US-China trade war, using more advanced methodologies. Our analysis shows that China disproportionately bears the brunt of a US-China trade war, especially in case of a further escalation.

Special Dutch version

Can fiscal policy fill the gap?

The ECB has little possibilities to stabilize the economy in case of a new recession. Therefore it is important that Eurozone countries have fiscal policy space to fill the gap. Unfortunately the Eurozone countries do not seem to have enough buffers.