Economic Comment
Het gaat op dit moment niet goed met de Duitse auto-industrie. Aangezien de Nederlandse auto-industrie voor de helft afhankelijk is van de vraag uit Duitsland, heeft de Nederlandse auto-industrie het ook zwaar.
Economic Report
The great Brexit gamble paid off: Prime Minister Johnson got his majority in the House of Commons and he will now be able to ‘get Brexit done’. The UK will leave the EU by January 31.
Economic Comment
Spain’s elections failed to solve the deadlock in parliament. Scraping a majority will be extremely difficult. The stalemate will not send the economy into crisis, but it prevents the economy and public finances from being prepared for one.
Economic Report
Sunday’s elections in Spain are unlikely to break the deadlock in parliament. The economy will continue to grow relatively fast in the short term, but growth is slowing while unemployment is still high and public finances weak.
Economic Report
In our Where Will They Go index (including market size), India tops the list of countries that might benefit from the US-China trade war. The current economic slump weighs on India’s attractiveness as investment destination, which required the government to act by launching structural reforms.
Economic Comment
The Eurozone economy grew with 0.2% in 19Q3. At first sight maybe little to cheer about, but given the trade tensions and ailing manufacturing sector, worth a minor celebration. Maybe more importantly, for now this is as good as it gets.
Economic Report
Whilst ‘Super Saturday’ turned into a Brexit anti-climax, it also became clear that Prime Minister Johnson actually might have the numbers to get his deal through. This may change when the deal will be scrutinized.
Economic Comment
Zolang voldoende Republikeinen in de Senaat achter Trump blijven staan, wordt hij niet uit zijn ambt gezet. De start van het impeachment-onderzoek door de Democraten in het Huis van Afgevaardigden kan echter wel een averechts effect hebben op de kans voor de Democraten om de presidentsverkiezingen te winnen.
Economic Report
Onze economie is veranderd. Kennis, de regio en duurzaamheid zijn veel centraler komen te staan bij het concurrentievermogen van bedrijven. Nationaal, macro-economisch innovatiebeleid volstaat daarom niet meer. Otto Raspe stelt dat nieuw innovatiebeleid veel nadrukkelijker gebiedsgericht moet zijn.
Economic Report
In this report we assess the potential impact of US tariffs on European Union export goods worth USD 7.5bn. The use of a standard GTAP trade model enables us to analyse the economic impact across sectors and countries.
Economic Comment
The EU and the UK are treading carefully to avoid any blame when things go wrong, but it remains highly unlikely that a deal will be reached in the next two weeks. This means that there will be yet another showdown in Westminster.
Economic Report
Portuguese elections (October 6) are likely to be won by Prime Minister Costa’s Socialists. Costa’s ability to maintain fiscal prudence as a policy cornerstone will depend on the economy maintaining its momentum.
Economic Comment Dutch version
Most recent monthly figures confirm our view of a continuous slowdown of economic growth. More stimulus is on the cards, but this will be less massive and more targeted than during previous episodes. The trade war developments can be characterized by ‘one step forward, two steps back’.
Economic Report
India’s economic growth slowed to the lowest level in six years. At this point it is uncertain whether the economic slump has bottomed out. We have pencilled in a rebound in growth to 6% for fiscal q2, but there are substantial downward risks to this outlook.
