RaboResearch - Economic Research

Country Report

Country Report Turkey

Political pressure on the central bank ahead of parliamentary elections contributed to a strong depreciation of the Turkish lira. Concerns about a possible executive presidency after elections and more populist economic policies unnerve investors.

Column

Het Spaanse ochtendgloren (Dutch)

Een werkloosheid van 23%, een begrotingstekort boven de 3%-norm van de Europese Commissie en een ingestorte huizenmarkt. Dit beeld van Spanje is in rap tempo aan het kantelen door hervormingen, maar deze hervormingen hebben wel pijn gedaan.

Country Report

Country report Portugal

The Portuguese economy returned to growth in 2014 but medium term prospects remain weak. Meanwhile, with an election this year, the reform effort while this year’s budget is based on overly optimistic assumptions.

Country Report

Country Report Spain

The Spanish economy is expected to maintain its competitiveness while domestic demand strengthens. The low quality of employment created may hurt productivity growth. We expect to see political fragmentation at the national level.

Country Report

Country report Ireland

The strong rebound of the Irish economy supported private sector deleveraging while the housing prices rebounded strongly. With the budget deficit down and political stability enduring, the situation in Ireland is set to improve further.

Country Report

Country report Italy

Italy’s economy shrank again in 2014, and is expected to only recover slowly. Political stability has improved a bit and the government’s reform agenda is promising. Some major reforms have already been achieved, but progress is and will remain slow.

Country Report

Country Report Belgium

The new centre-right government plans to target the budget deficit and Belgian firms’ competitiveness. Thanks to various measures implemented by the former and current government, the increase in unit labour costs came to halt in 2014.