Economic Quarterly Report Dutch version
Our growth forecasts for the global economy have been revised downwards. The risk of a global recession has risen. In addition, a continued period of low interest rates harbours risks in the long run.
Special
We present a ‘new and improved’ version of Rabo’s Emerging Market Vulnerability Heatmap which is constructed from a more comprehensive list of inputs. The heatmap highlights ARS, TRY and ZAR as the most vulnerable emerging market currencies.
Economic Comment
De waarde van de Turkse lira kende de afgelopen twee weken een sterke terugval, nadat politieke spanningen tussen Turkije en de Verenigde Staten opliepen en investeerders bovendien hun vertrouwen verloren in het Turkse economische en monetaire beleid.
Economic Quarterly Report Dutch version
The economic outlook for the global economy remains positive, but risks of a correction have increased sharply as a result of increasing trade tensions. Geopolitical risks and vulnerabilities in various emerging economies are also worrying.
Special
Scenario analyses shows that a surge in oil prices results in a global economic loss of 0.4ppts-0.9ppts between 2018 and 2022. The economic impact, however, is very unevenly distributed among countries. We distinguish three groups: the vulnerable ones, the lucky ones, and the uncomfortable ones.
Economic Report
Investeren in het buitenland is een complexe aangelegenheid. Met behulp van deze keuzegids kunnen ondernemers beter beslissen in welke landen ze investeren.
Economic Report
De Europese interne markt voor goederen en diensten heeft positief bijgedragen aan de economie van de lidstaten. De welvaartswinst kan verder groeien als nog bestaande handelsbelemmeringen worden weggewerkt.
Economic Report
A review of the EC proposal for a Pan-European Pension Product (PEPP). We believe a PEPP will be more successful in some countries than others. In the Netherlands we currently see little added benefit for another individual pension product.
Economic Comment
Het gaat niet slecht met de wereldeconomie, maar er is geen reden tot juichen. Politieke risico’s binnen en buiten Europa zijn nog steeds substantieel en er hangt onzekerheid boven financiële markten over de normalisatie van het monetaire beleid.
Economic Report
De kans dat de wereldeconomie harder gaat groeien dan nu het geval is lijkt gering, aangezien vele grote economieën op hun economisch potentieel zitten. Deze is aangetast door jaren van bovenmatige liquiditeit.
Economic Quarterly Report Dutch version
The global economy will continue to grow at around 3 per cent this year and next. Possibilities for boosting the economy through budgetary or monetary policy are limited, while political developments mean that effective economic policy is unlikely.
Country Report
After a mild recovery of the fiscal balance in 2015, the challenge for Bulgaria lies in continuation of prudent policy to enable stable future growth and ensure stable levels of public debt.
