Special
This Special forecasts the world order of 2030. We shows how past world orders collapsed due to weakening hegemonic power and project to 2030 show while the US will likely remain top dog, our world order will again be far more fragmented overall.
Special
The past months have been particularly challenging for the MENA region (Middle East and North Africa). It was hit almost simultaneously by the major drop of hydrocarbon prices and the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic.
Economic Quarterly Report Dutch version
We expect the global economy in 2020 and 2021 to show the slowest rate of growth since the financial crisis. This is mainly because the global economy is reaching the limits of its output capacity and industrial activity and world trade are weakening further.
Special
Since 2017 the US has blocked the appointment of new members of WTO’s Appellate Body, which per 11 December is unable to fulfil its tasks. Consequently, trade disputes would again have to be resolved according to the GATT regime, means trade rules will be dictated by the most powerful countries.
Special
China’s lower economic growth together with smaller and more targeted stimulus compared to previous episodes dampen the global outlook. Together with a potential shift in global policy responses, this likely means a new shift lower in bond yields again soon.
Economic Quarterly Report Dutch version
The economic outlook for the global economy remains positive, but risks of a correction have increased sharply as a result of increasing trade tensions. Geopolitical risks and vulnerabilities in various emerging economies are also worrying.
Special
Scenario analyses shows that a surge in oil prices results in a global economic loss of 0.4ppts-0.9ppts between 2018 and 2022. The economic impact, however, is very unevenly distributed among countries. We distinguish three groups: the vulnerable ones, the lucky ones, and the uncomfortable ones.
Economic Report
Uitgaande van de geraamde groei zien we volop kansen voor Nederlandse exporteurs. Niet alleen in de ons omringende landen, maar ook in China, de VS, Turkije, Rusland, Nigeria, de VAE, Brazilië en India.
Economic Report
Investeren in het buitenland is een complexe aangelegenheid. Met behulp van deze keuzegids kunnen ondernemers beter beslissen in welke landen ze investeren.
Economic Report
De kans dat de wereldeconomie harder gaat groeien dan nu het geval is lijkt gering, aangezien vele grote economieën op hun economisch potentieel zitten. Deze is aangetast door jaren van bovenmatige liquiditeit.
Column
Als u de afgelopen jaren ons Economisch Kwartaalbericht met enige regelmaat heeft gelezen, dan bent u geregeld zinnen tegengekomen als ‘de neerwaartse risico’s zijn groter dan de opwaartse’ of ‘de kans bestaat dat de groei ook komend jaar lager uitvalt’. En niet voor niets.