RaboResearch - Economic Research

Economic Comment

Covid-19 economisch dashboard: hoe staat Nederland ervoor? (Dutch)

In deze publicatie presenteren wij periodiek een reeks grafieken, die samen een zo actueel mogelijk beeld geven van de Nederlandse economie in de context van de coronacrisis. Wij kijken bijvoorbeeld naar cijfers over mobiliteit, vertrouwen bij producenten en consumenten, maar ook werkgelegenheid, huizenprijzen en handel.

Economic Comment Dutch version

COVID-19 Economic Dashboard

Hard economic data usually comes available at quite some lag. To gauge the economic impact of COVID-19 we look at more timely economic indicators that are readily available. Data on traffic jams, international flights, and restaurant bookings are released sooner and more frequently. This helps us to better monitor the economic situation during the COVID-19 crisis.

Economic Comment

Germany: Additional containment measures

Germany will implement additional containment measures to prevent a further rise of infections from 16 December to 20 January. Non-essential shops, schools and barbers will have to close. Closing of non-essential shops could cost as much as EUR 3.5bn TVA in December and January.

Economic Comment

Phase One Monitor – December update

Despite reversing the downward trend in September and October, China is still miles behind the target. There is a clear divergence on the progress towards targets for agricultural and energy imports, and manufacturing and services imports.

Economic Quarterly Report

Sectorprognoses: volgend jaar beter (Dutch)

Onder het macro-economische geweld zien wij uiteenlopende ontwikkelingen tussen en binnen de sectoren in Nederland. Maar een volledig herstel in 2021 blijft veelal uit. Sectoren hebben zowel last van de conjunctuur als corona gerelateerde beperkingen.

Economic Comment

Japan: Crawling out of a recession

The first signs of Japan’s economic recovery are here, albeit tentative. More fiscal stimulus is on the way. More monetary stimulus might be on the way as well, since core inflation has been negative for three months in a row.

Economic Comment

Japan: Economic and external woes continue

Coronavirus cases are still increasing in Japan, which is holding back its economic recovery. Relations with China are still tense. If the economy weakens further, the Bank of Japan might start another round of stimulus.

Economic Comment

China: Increasing self-reliance

China’s new Five Year Plan signals the country’s increased focus on self-reliance. Meanwhile, the economic recovery is continuing. Tensions between the US and China are here to stay, irrespective of who the new US president will be.

Economic Comment

Japan: The reign of Suga

Yoshihide Suga has been elected as Japan’s new prime minister. His newly appointed cabinet signals policy continuity and conformity. Meanwhile, the economy is showing signs of recovery, although it remains quite weak.