RaboResearch - Economic Research

Economic Quarterly Report Dutch version

Weak economic recovery in 2011 not entirely unexpected

During the past year we witnessed a lacklustre economic recovery. And the outlook for 2011 does not look much better. This may be disappointing, yet considering the severity of the recession, it is not altogether surprising. In the United States, as well as in a number of European countries, consumers were living beyond their means for years.

Economic Quarterly Report Dutch version

The Netherlands: becoming accustomed to a lower growth path

The Dutch economy has benefited in 2010 from export growth and from the government stimulus memasures. For the time being, consumers remain cautious, while on the investment front, activity is limited. For the coming years, real GDP growth - which is expected to average 1½% - will be lower than in 2010. Factors to blame include the levelling off of world trade growth and the austerity measures implemented by the government.

Economic Quarterly Report Dutch version

Outlook 2011

Extremely disappointing, yet not unexpected. This is how our economists describe the continuation of this year’s sluggish economic recovery in the year ahead in our Outlook 2011. We are still climbing out of the deepest recession since the 1930s. While the world economic activity picked up somewhat last year, the recovery is far from robust and the prospect of fully returning to global prosperity is still a long way off.

Economic Quarterly Report Dutch version

Global economic challenges in 2011 and beyond

The recent global economic slowdown has made clear once again that the battered Western consumers, especially in the US and the UK, are no longer able to thrust the global economy forward while they are busy repairing their balance sheets.

Economic Quarterly Report

Een Azië-crisis in Oost-Europa? (Dutch)

De financiële crisis, die zich sinds 2007 over de wereld verspreidt, gaat ook aan Oost-Europa niet ongemerkt voorbij. In veel opzichten doet de situatie in Oost- Europa denken aan het begin van de Azië-crisis in 1997. In de afgelopen tien jaar is de Oost-Europese economie sterk gegroeid, vooral door de instroom van buitenlands kapitaal en de export.

Economic Quarterly Report

The Netherlands: Lows followed by flats

The Dutch economy is clambering back up, but the recovery is not yet robust. Strengthening world trade is currently driving economic growth, with the domestic sector not contributing significantly at present.

Economic Quarterly Report

VS: Groeivertraging of dubbele dip? (Dutch)

Het herstel van de Amerikaanse economie heeft de afgelopen maanden aan kracht verloren. De angst voor een 'dubbele dip', hernieuwde krimp van de economische activiteit, is flink opgelopen in de financiële markten.

Economic Quarterly Report

Rente en valuta: Penduleklokje (Dutch)

U kent het wel: zo’n pendule klokje dat vroeger bij oma thuis stond. De pendule is sinds eind juni van uiterst links naar rechts gezwiept. Of wat dacht u van: ‘Jantje lacht, Jantje huilt’. Allemaal prachtige metaforen die het gedrag van de markten in afgelopen maanden beschrijven.

Economic Quarterly Report

Economisch Kwartaalbericht (Dutch)

De wereldeconomie bevindt zich in een onzekere fase. Na de korte maar hevige recessie die eind 2008 inzette, is wereldwijd alweer snel een in eerste instantie overtuigend groeiherstel opgetreden. Dat is het goede nieuws. Het minder goede nieuws is dat dit herstel inmiddels alweer aan slijtage onderhevig lijkt te zijn.