RaboResearch - Economic Research

Economic Report

The return of IFI lending

The global financial crisis has brought the IMF, the World Bank and other International Financial Institutions (IFI’s) back to the spotlights. With large emergency loan packages, they have helped countries to deal with the severe economic shocks.

Economic Comment

The start of a Dutch consumer recovery?

Dutch households withdrew €1.2 billion from savings accounts in October and November 2009. Does this mean that consumers are ready to increase spending? Or is this money merely meant to cover income losses?

Dutch Housing Market Quarterly Dutch version

Dutch Housing Market Quarterly

The negative spiral afflicting the housing market for some time appears to be broken, and the housing market is stabilising. After a sharp decline in transactions from autumn 2008, the past half year has shown signs of a slight rebound.

Country Report

Country Report Hungary

Hungary struggled through the financial and economic crisis in 2009. The economy shrunk by 7% and there was little room for fiscal stimulus as Hungary had to adhere to the conditions of the IMF attached to the aid package.

Country Report

Country Report Bulgaria

Similar to other Eastern European countries, the financial crisis hit Bulgaria mainly through a drop in export demand, tighter credit facilities and general risk aversion against the region. The economy shrunk by 5% in 2009.

Economic Report

Second life (Dutch)

In Second Life is het mogelijk om, parallel aan de echte wereld, een virtueel tweede leven te beginnen. De virtuele wereld van Second Life lijkt in veel opzichten op de materiële wereld. Maar is er in Second Life sprake van een volwaardige economie?

Column

Een sjeik voor IJsland (Dutch)

Voetbalclubs komen niet van hun te dure spelers af, al zouden ze willen. Vorige week ging één van de oudste voetbalclubs van Nederland failliet (Haarlem). Weinig te juichen dus in die voetbalwereld. Door de financiële crisis, zo zegt men.

Country Report

Malaysia (Country report)

The global recession in 2009 hit Malaysia via the trade channel. The highly export dependent economy experienced a steep decline in external demand for its export products last year.

Economic Report

In de ban van het Goud (Dutch)

Sinds de Verenigde Staten in 1971 de koppeling van de dollar aan het goud hebben losgelaten speelt goud formeel geen rol meer in het internationale stelsel. Toch klinkt regelmatig de oproep om terugkeer naar een op goud gebaseerd stelsel.

Economic Report

Chili: nature strikes

One of the strongest earthquakes to ever hit Chile occurred on 27 February 2010. The country’s infrastructure sustained massive damage and the death toll is currently estimated around 600. As a result of the earthquake, economic activity will be subdued in the short term.

Economic Report

Chili: a step to the right

Since the return to democracy in 1990, the center-left oriented coalition, the Concertación, had won every presidential election. In fact, Piñera is the first right-wing candidate to win a democratic presidential election since Jorge Allisandri Rodríguez won the presidency in 1958.

Economic Comment

Should the Greeks go on a holiday?

Some market participants and notable economists are arguing that Greece needs to exit the eurozone, even temporarily, in order to regain its external competitiveness. As attractive as this option sounds, we are inclined to strongly disagree.

Economic Comment

Griekse 'boekhoudtrucs' geen nieuws (Dutch)

Griekenland is deze week weer in het nieuws; haar overheid zou boekhoudkundige trucs gebruiken om de staatsschuld er lager uit te laten zien dan deze is. Maar de nieuwswaarde voor wat betreft de analyse van de Griekse overheidsfinanciën is gering.

Column

IJslands hoop in bange dagen (Dutch)

IJsland bevindt zich in een diepe economische, financiële en politieke crisis. Nu de president het akkoord over de terugbetaling van ’s lands buitenlandse schulden heeft getorpedeerd moet worden gevreesd dat het land zich op een hellend vlak bevindt.