RaboResearch - Economic Research

Special

US: Is there rising wage growth on the horizon?

We predict wage growth to peak at 3.0 to 3.3% in the next two years. While this is higher than current levels, it’s on the low end of the Fed’s preferred range. At the same time, our models show that we’re already getting close to the peak of the economic cycle.

Economic Update Dutch version

Dutch economy approaching the top of the business cycle

The Dutch economy has fully recovered from the crisis. In 2018 and 2019 growth will remain high and the Dutch economy will reach the top of the business cycle. Producer confidence is at the highest level ever measured, but inflation remains relatively low.

Economic Report

Catalan separatists tone down defiant stance

The risk of a new clash between Catalonia and Madrid in the coming weeks has dropped. Tensions will remain high in the coming years, but Catalonia will stay part of Spain. Notably, the political crisis has had limited impact on Spain’s economy.