RaboResearch - Economic Research

Special

German elections: Merkel looking for a (new) deputy

Angela Merkel is set to win a fourth term as chancellor, thanks to the strong German economy. Her choice of coalition partner will have ramifications beyond Germany. We see a renewed Grand Coalition as the most likely. They may make progress on Eurozone integration.

Economic Report

North Korea’s pressure point: the economy

China’s economic lifeline is key for North Korea’s economy. Recent sanctions are expected to put more pressure on the regime in Pyongyang, but China also has its strategic interests related to North Korea.

Dutch Housing Market Quarterly Dutch version

Regional house price differences are widening

We expect a house price growth of 7.6 percent in the Netherlands in 2017. Country-wide, price peak of 2008 will be surpassed in early 2018 – in the more peripheral provinces this can take until 2020. We expect a stagnation of the number of sales in the second half of 2017.

Economic Report

Pan-European Pension Product

A review of the EC proposal for a Pan-European Pension Product (PEPP). We believe a PEPP will be more successful in some countries than others. In the Netherlands we currently see little added benefit for another individual pension product.