RaboResearch - Economic Research

Economic Update

Economic Update Italy

In the third quarter, the Italian recession was more moderate than in the first half of the year. Although business sentiment improved in the past months, the recession is set to continue.

Special

Political risks in the eurozone (Special)

The eurozone's south is implementing austerity measures while the north is buying them the time to do so. Economic issues are usually extensively discussed. But what are the political risks that might render this strategy unfeasible?

Economic Update

Economic Update Italy

In 12Q2, the Italian economy recorded its fourth quarterly decline. The economy will remain in recession in the second half of the year, but we expect the pace of contraction to moderate.

Economic Update

Economic Update Italy

With a 0.7% quarterly contraction of GDP in 12Q2, the current Italian recession is now a year old. As in the preceding quarters, the economic decline is mainly the result of falling domestic demand.

Economic Update

Economic Update Italy

In the first quarter of 2012, the Italian GDP fell back for the third in a row. Consumer and producer confidence has deteriorated over the past months. This makes it very likely that the recession stretches out into the third quarter of 2012.

Economic Update

Economic Update Italy

The Italian economy fell back into recession in11Q3. The pace of decline probably accelerated in the fourth quarter and we expect a further contraction in 12Q1. The announced austerity measures will hold back growth in 2012 as a whole.