RaboResearch - Economic Research

Country Report

Hungary (Country Report)

Hungary's economic situation leaves much to be desired. After contracting by nearly 7% in 2009, the economy grew by less than 2% in the subsequent years, only to fall back into recession at the start of 2012.

Economic Report

Bail-in: an alternative to bail-out of banks?

According to a European proposal by the European Commission, bail-in is one of the instruments every EU member state should have at its disposal in order to deal effectively with banking crises. This Special Report discusses bail-in in more detail.

Economic Report

Euro crisis: institutional tug-of-war

The Economic and Monetary Union still lacks a credible crisis mechanism. The current ECB approach provides only a temporary solution. A permanent solution most likely requires muddling through for some time yet.

Country Report

Brazil (Country Update)

Brazil's economic growth has been disappointing, with growth falling to 2.7% in 2011 and an expected 2% (at most) in 2012. The central bank has been lowering its policy rate to a record-low 7.5%.

Country Report

Sri Lanka (Country report)

Sri Lanka is an island situated in the Indian Sea. The end of the 26-year long civil war in May 2009 has majorly boosted its economic prospects. Overall, the socio-political situation seems to be the largest risk for Sri Lanka.

Economic Report

A realistic discount rate

Dutch Minister Kamp of Social Affairs recently announced plans to artificially increase the discount rate used by pension funds to value their liabilities. This Special Report looks at the desirability of the proposed changes.

Economic Report

Overview of options for the housing market

This document maps out the effects of the respective election platforms for the economy as published by the Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis. We conclude with our view of the likely and most desirable outcome of the coalition talks.

Country Report

Cyprus (Country update)

The Cypriot economy is deteriorating at an alarming speed. As the country's large financial sector is heavily exposed to Greek debt, its banks have been struggling to remain solvent.

Country Report

Uzbekistan (Country report)

Uzbekistan's political situation is stable, but only as it is ruled in an authoritarian manner by President Karimov. The social situation is troublesome, since economic, religious and press freedom are strictly limited and corruption continues.

Country Report

Lithuania (Country report)

Lithuania's recovery will slow in 2012, as domestic demand is still recovering and eurozone demand will be slow, reducing the growth of Lithuania's export sector.

Country Report

South Korea (Country report)

South Korea's export oriented economy is weathering the global economic slowdown relatively well, although growth is slowing. Economic policy continues to focus on stability rather than supporting growth.

Country Report

Mongolia (Country report)

Mongolia's economy is growing by double-digit rates on the back of investments in the mining sector and expansionary fiscal policies. Mongolia's export structure is vulnerable, as it exports only a few commodities, nearly all to China.

Economic Quarterly Report

The Netherlands: Towards the elections

The Dutch economy has not yet managed to escape the mire, and faces rising unemployment, shrinking consumption, falling house prices and a lack of business investment. The coming months will be decisive in several respects.

Economic Quarterly Report

Global Economic Outlook: Growth differences

In many regions, real GDP growth slowed in the second quarter of 2012 compared to the first quarter. Sentiment indicators moreover as yet show no sign of an improvement. We are forecasting only a slight acceleration for next year to 3¾%.

Economic Quarterly Report

Recovery Western economies remains slow

After a slowing of growth in 2012, growth in the global economy will pick up slightly next year. The recovery from the recession in 2008/2009 will however be extremely slow in Europe, the US and also Japan.