Economic Quarterly Report Dutch version
A thriving economy, such as we experienced in the years 2004-2007, is currently well beyond our reach. Officially, the recession is over, but the recovery is slow and uncertain. For the year ahead, our economists predict a meagre GDP growth of 1%.
Special Dutch version
With regard to globalization, we find ourselves at a crossroads in a number of areas. In this special report we focus on the future - even more so than in our economic Outlook for 2010 and beyond - and we describe the dynamic field in which changes to the economic and political world order are currently taking place.
Special
Cooperative banks in the new financial system
Special
The prevailing 'temporary emergency' deposit guarantee system (DGS) in Europe should be revised and adjusted when the largest turbulences in the banking sector are over. This DGS is not beneficial for financial stability and competition in banking.
Economic Quarterly Report
Both the speed at which the Dutch economy is deteriorating and the depth of the recession are unprecedented. The Dutch economy is going through a deep downturn this year and is expected to contract by 6% in real terms in 2009.
Dutch Housing Market Quarterly
In view of the current deterioration in the housing market, the Rabobank envisages a nominal house price drop of 5% for 2009, and a nominal drop of 1% for 2010. Downward risks for sentiment among house buyers and for market dynamics continue to prevail.
Economic Report
The Chinese government publish consistently higher growth figures during economic downturns in the hope of maintaining social stability. Hence, we expect a growth figure close to 6.5% yoy for 2009, while the true figure will be closer to 3.5%.
Economic Report
For India, the debate to fully open the capital account is a long-standing one. This Special Report elaborates on why India needs foreign capital and demonstrates that the country has already been gradually opening the capital account. This has led to India being in fact more open than meets the eye, but still has a long way to go.
Special Dutch version
The euro is under pressure. Following a strong surge, the European currency has lost terrain against the dollar again. It is therefore time to strengthen the European currency institutionally.
Economic Report
The effect of the current economic slowdown on remittances is still unknown. Common sense would suggest that all countries with a high reliance on remittances from workers abroad would now be in serious trouble. However, several scientific studies have shown that remittance flows were relatively unaffected.