Economic Report
The midterm elections on November 6 will be crucial for President Trump’s ability to govern in the next two years, especially on domestic issues. Consequently, President Trump’s actions in the near-term should be seen from this perspective.
Dutch Housing Market Quarterly Dutch version
Just like in the first quarter fewer homes were sold between April and June 2018. Yet, house prices have increased rapidly in the same period. Decreasing affordability and accessibility of the owner-occupied market severely undermine buyer confidence on the housing market.
Column Dutch version
The position of women on both sides of the labour market spectrum would benefit from women working longer hours or full time. It is the only way to increase the number of financially independent women and open up the road to the top jobs.
Economic Report Dutch version
Geopolitical risks have risen, but markets appear unperturbed. We develop a new index of geopolitical risk and use it to show that most bond and equity markets are just as responsive to such risks as in the past.
Economic Update Dutch version
The Dutch economy keeps expanding, but housing investments are expected to stagnate while optimism about future activity has taken a hit among industrial producers.
Economic Update Dutch version
In the second quarter of 2018, Spain’s economy took it a bit more easy. The short-term outlook remains strong, though. Nevertheless, the current government should act to lower Spain’s vulnerability to future shocks and it is unlikely to do so.
Economic Report
The UK government published a long awaited White Paper on the blueprint for the post-Brexit EU-UK relationship. The proposal brings more clarity but not more certainty. Hence the threat of a hard Brexit persists.
Special
Driven by animosity vis-à-vis German cars and a sense of non-reciprocity by the EU on lower car tariffs, US President Trump is expected in the next few weeks to decide on whether the US will impose trade tariffs on cars. We assess the possible impact.
Economic Report
The oil market is going through a rocky period. Large net oil importing emerging markets, such as India, are vulnerable, but exactly how vulnerable? In this column we show the economic impact in case of a mild and severe oil price shock.
