RaboResearch - Economic Research

Country Report

Denmark (Country report)

So far the economic recovery in Denmark has only been modest. That said, the growth outlook has improved and the government is making progress with budgetary consolidation and more prudent financial regulation.

Country Report

Egypt (Country report)

A wave of protests of relatively loosely organized youth groups with support of Islamist and civil organizations forced an end to the 30+ years of Mubarak rule.

Country Report

Germany (Country report)

Germany’s strong economic recovery and resilient labour market are thanks to sound macro policies and the quick rebound in world trade. Risks to the reform agenda for Landesbanken and an escalation of the Eurozone debt crisis remain a medium-term concern.

Country Report

Ireland (Country report)

Even though the worst of the recession is now over, the Irish economy is set for a very slow economic recovery this year and next. Domestic demand will still contract this year, but continued export growth should be able to compensate for that.

Country Report

Bermuda (Country report)

Being renowned for its business-friendly tax climate and sophisticated financial infrastructure, the country has become the largest (re)insurance jurisdiction in the World after New York and London. Maintaining Bermuda’s favourable operating environment for the financial sector is a key policy objective.

Country Report

Canada (Country report)

Canada remains a well governed country and boasts a strong economy. The economic recovery is underway and risks to household finances are acknowledged and addressed.

Country Report

Bahrein (Country report)

Bahrain is a rich, small, liberal and free-trade island economy, which houses an important regional financial center and some major oil and aluminum processing plants. This combined with its strategic position between Saudi Arabia’s oil fields and nuclear Iran caused the US navy to select this kingdom as its most important base in the Persian Gulf

Country Report

Turkey (Country report)

The sudden contraction of the economy in 2009 was followed by a rapid recovery in 2010. Although the economy of Turkey is known for its flexibility, the risk of overheating has moved to the forefront.

Country Report

India (Country report)

India is showing very robust economic growth, after a mild slowdown during the global financial crisis. The economy is estimated to have expanded by 9.1% yoy in 2010 and grow by 9.0% yoy in 2011. The largest country risks are found in the political and social situation.

Country Report

Russia (Country update)

Russia’s economic recovery from the global financial and economic crisis has been disappointing. Real GDP growth amounted to a slightly lower than expected 4% last year. In spite of recent high oil prices, growth actually slowed in the first quarter of this year.

Country Report

Croatia (Country report)

The Croatian economy is slowly recovering from the global crisis that hit the economy in 2009. The crisis further worsened the country’s twin deficits and external debt increased to 101% of GDP (2010). Moreover, unemployment rose from 15.1% in 2007, to 17.6% in 2010.

Country Report

China (Country update)

China’s economy continues to perform strongly in spite of numerous rounds of monetary tightening, with year-on-year (yoy) real GDP growth remaining steady at 9.8% and 9.7% in the last two quarters. Inflation remains stubbornly high at around 5% yoy in each of the past three months.

Country Report

Angola (Country update)

Angola’s oil-based economy stands to benefit from the recent increase in oil prices. Oil exports account for 96% of total exports and generate 90% of all tax income. Higher oil prices will thus help Angola to recover from the global crisis that hit the country in 2008 and 2009. Consequently, we expect GDP growth to reach 7.9% in 2011 (from 1.7% in 2010).