RaboResearch - Economic Research

Economic Update Dutch version

Economic Update United Kingdom

The 0.6% q-o-q contraction of GDP in 10Q4 was in a word, disappointing. The harsh winter explains part of the slowdown but there are unfortunately other signs pointing to a struggling recovery. Warmer weather may lead to a temporary boost in GDP in 11Q1, but the growth outlook in the coming quarters is not much brighter.

Country Report

Indonesia (Country Update)

After growing 4.5% in 2009, the economy is back to its pre-crisis growth level of around 6%. Downside risks to growth are a lower than expected global growth, a reversal of foreign capital flows, and/or a bursting asset bubble.

Economic Quarterly Report Dutch version

United Kingdom: economic snowdown

The economic recovery remains sluggish. Households are facing major headwinds and the export outlook remains uncertain. Yet, the government still plans to go ahead with its consolidation measures while hoping for the best.

Economic Update Dutch version

Economic Update Spain

Spanish GDP in 2010 rose by on average 0.15% a quarter in 2010. Due to a further fall in employment unit labour costs fell. A welcome development, since the economic reco¬very is highly dependent on foreign demand.

Country Report

Costa Rica (Country Report)

Thanks to considerable fiscal stimulus, Costa Rica has weathered the global economic crisis and the decline in US demand for its exports relatively well. As stimulus is not yet withdrawn and prospects for the US economy are improving, economic growth for the next years is expected to reach 4.3% on average

Economic Update Dutch version

Monthly Update The Netherlands

Exports continue to determine the Dutch economic situation. Growth of domestic demand is far from exuberant. In December inflation climbed with the highest average rise since March 2009. During 2010 both collectively agreed (CAO) wages and inflation rose by the same amount, while wage increases ran above inflation, on average. The situation on the Dutch labour market improved again, but weaker groups remain less successful.

Economic Update Dutch version

Economic Update Belgium

The moderate economic recovery of 2010, primarily driven by export growth, will probably continue this year. It remains to be seen to what extent domestic demand will be able to start supporting this recovery. Consumers and producers are rather optimistic, in spite of the political stalemate. However, the government will eventually be forced to start imposing budget cuts, which will suppress domestic demand growth.