RaboResearch - Economic Research

Special

Kleiner sturen met grotere gemeenten (Dutch)

Het kabinet wil onder het motto ‘kleiner sturen’ de omvang van de overheid in Nederland terugdringen. Gemeenten moeten terug in aantal en groter qua om­vang. Zo wordt de bestuurlijke indeling van ons land aangepast aan de maatschappelijke realiteit.

Economic Comment

The Cyprus bailout program

The Cyprus bailout program presented on Monday 25 March is much better than the proposal presented a week before. A Cypriot euro exit has been averted, but the country will face a difficult and uncertain economic future. 

Economic Comment

Dekkingsgraden nemen toe (Dutch)

De financiële positie van pensioenfondsen is in het laatste kwartaal van 2012 licht verbeterd. Desondanks zijn veel pensioenfondsen genoodzaakt om per 1 april de pensioenen te korten.

Economic Quarterly Report

Economisch Kwartaalbericht maart 2013 (Dutch)

De wereldeconomie is sinds het begin van dit jaar in rustiger vaarwater gekomen. Volgens sommigen is daarmee 'het licht aan het eind van de tunnel' in zicht gekomen. Anderen zijn daar minder van overtuigd en stellen dat dit licht afkomstig is van een naderende trein.

Economic Quarterly Report

The Netherlands: heading for seven lean years

The Dutch economy has failed to recover from the Great Recession of 2008/2009 over the past several years. It contracted again in 2012 due to relatively low export growth and a drop in domestic spending. We do not expect this outlook to change to any significant degree this year or next.

Column

Japaniek? (Dutch)

Bij het begin van de crisis in Nederland werd Japan gezien als schrikbeeld voor de ontwikkeling van onze economie voor de periode erna. Wat blijkt: De Nederlandse economische prestaties zijn slechter dan die van Japan. Reden voor Japaniek?

Economic Quarterly Report

Light in the middle of the tunnel

The world has entered calmer waters since the beginning of this year. As such, some are already claiming that they are ‘seeing the light at the end of the tunnel’. We caution that there may still be some tunnel ahead.

Economic Quarterly Report

United Kingdom: growth stagnant, employment up?

UK’s recovery is still very sluggish while the labour market is going from strength to strength. The economic outlook is unlikely to improve materially unless the pace of fiscal consolidation is slowed.

Economic Update

Economic Update Brazil

For the Brazilian economy, 2012 has been a very disappointing year, as GDP growth fell to 0.9%. So far, the recovery of the Brazilian economy has been weak, but in recent months some positive developments became visible.

Economic Update

Economic Update India

India's Central Statistical Office government is now expecting GDP growth in Financial Year 2012/13 to come in at only 5% y-o-y. We expect the economy to recover somewhat this year. Economic growth is thus likely to strengthen to 6-6.5%.

Economic Update

Economic Update Russia

Preliminary data shows that the Russian economy grew by 3.4% y-o-y in 2012. However, this masks the fact that the economy slowed fairly sharply over the course of the year. We expect growth to remain subdued at 3% in 2013.

Economic Report

The eurozone needs an economic fire department

The actions we see when a fire erupts in a building are not unlike those observed during the eurozone crisis. The lesson here is that the eurozone must always have an economic fire department in combination with stronger institutions.

Economic Comment

The impact of Chavez’s death

The death of Hugo Chávez on Tuesday not only creates economic and political uncertainty for Venezuela, but also for some of its neighbours.

Economic Update

Economic Update The Netherlands

The Dutch economy is currently experiencing a “triple-dip” recession. For the time being, it appears the recession will con¬tinue, but growth is expected to pick up during the course of 2013.

Economic Update

Conjunctuurbeeld Duitsland (Dutch)

Het BBP kromp in het vierde kwartaal door een uitval van buitenlandse vraag. Een herstel in het eerste kwartaal wordt verwacht, waarbij in 2013 de groei meer binnenlands gedreven zal zijn. Dit wordt ondersteund door een verbetering van het sentiment