RaboResearch - Economic Research

Special Dutch version

Sub-Saharan Africa: the Long Road up Mount Progress

Sub-Saharan Africa is facing headwinds from lower commodity prices, China’s slower growth, and normalization of monetary policy in the US. This has made the region’s economic outlook challenging, though not imminently gloomy.

Special Dutch version

Sub-Saharan Africa: struggling, but still growing

Sub-Saharan Africa is facing headwinds from lower commodity prices, a slower growing China and possibly rising US interest rates. This has made the economic outlook gloomier but we still expect the region to grow about 4% in the near future.

Economic Comment

Population boom in Africa: a dividend or a liability?

Recent UN data indicate that Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) could, in the long term, benefit from the so called demographic dividend. But for this economic potential to be fulfilled certain conditions have to be met.

Country Report

Country Report Nigeria

After a rebasing exercise, Nigeria became the largest economy of Africa. However, this does not reduce Nigeria’s large structural issues, and instability and violence could worsen ahead of elections in 2015.

Country Report

Country Report Nigeria

Nigeria had a good economic performance in recent year, but low social development and poor governance persist.

Country Report

Nigeria (Update country report

Persistent attacks by the Islamist Boko Haram sect, as well as large-scale strikes and protests following a sudden abolishment of fuel subsidies at the start of 2012, show that Nigeria is very prone to political and civil unrest.

Country Report

Nigeria (Country report)

In spite of a growing non-oil economy, Nigeria’s economic development is still very much dependent on developments in the oil sector. Since oil revenues account for 89% of total exports, the economy is extremely vulnerable to oil price shocks