RaboResearch - Economic Research

Dutch Housing Market Quarterly Dutch version

After the trough

The Dutch housing market will finally grow again in 2014. In terms of both pricing and the number of sales, we are out of the trough. The recovery is not broadbased yet, arrears still increase and the construction sector will pick up in 2015.

Dutch Housing Market Quarterly Dutch version

Housing market showing signs of a fragile recovery

As expected, the housing market is picking up slowly but surely. Some indicators are pointing to recovery, but it is still fragile. We expect an increase in sales in the fourth quarter of 2013, and stabilisation of prices in the course of 2014.

Dutch Housing Market Quarterly

Dutch Housing Market Quarterly

Several signs indicate a possible market recovery. E.g. the affordability of housing and consumer confidence improved due to lower prices since 2008. However, economic upturn is essential for a substantial recovery of the housing market.

Dutch Housing Market Quarterly

Dutch Housing Market Quarterly June 2013

The bottom of the Dutch owner-occupied housing market is in sight. The fall in house sales has virtually come to a halt and price declines have also slowed. We expect this development to continue and that house prices may stabilise as well in 2014.

Dutch Housing Market Quarterly Dutch version

Dutch Housing Market Quarterly February 2013

The second-hand housing market recorded a good fourth quarter in 2012. Prices stabilised and house sales rose considerably. The main reason was that buyers had a strong incentive to sign a provisional sale agreement before 1 January 2013.

Dutch Housing Market Quarterly Dutch version

Dutch Housing Market Quarterly

The residential property market is still showing no sign of recovery. In the first quarter of 2011, the average house price in the Netherlands fell by 0.5% com- pared to the previous quarter.

Dutch Housing Market Quarterly

Dutch Housing Market Quarterly

The housing market in the Netherlands is gradually recovering from the blow dealt to it by the credit crisis. The downward trend in transaction numbers now seems to have been broken, setting the trough at just over 125,000 transactions on a 12 month basis.

Dutch Housing Market Quarterly Dutch version

Dutch Housing Market Quarterly

The negative spiral afflicting the housing market for some time appears to be broken, and the housing market is stabilising. After a sharp decline in transactions from autumn 2008, the past half year has shown signs of a slight rebound.