RaboResearch - Economic Research

Country Report

Panama (Country Report)

Panama's economy continues to rank among the world's fastest growing economies. In order to save future Panama Canal revenues, a sovereign wealth fund has been established, which could strengthen public finances in the long-term.

Country Report

Mexico (Country Update)

After years of congressional gridlock, Mexico's newly-elected president Enrique Pe?a Nieto has presented a comprehensive structural reform package. While the reforms look promising, he will likely face protracted negotiations with the opposition.

Country Report

Latvia (Country Report)

Following its very deep recession in 2008/10, Latvia currently belongs to the fastest-growing EU member states. Thanks to its successful austerity strategy and low inflation, the country could join the euro area in 2014.

Special

Outlook 2013: Latin America and Caribbean

While a more challenging external environment has contributed to somewhat slower economic growth in Latin America and the Caribbean in 2012, earlier overheating and inflation pressures have abated in most countries.

Economic Update

Economic Update Emerging Markets

Several emerging markets continue to experience a slowdown in growth. Growth in 12Q2 went down in both Russia and Turkey, while growth in China is likely to slow down further in Q3 as well. Meanwhile, industrial production in Mexico remained strong.

Country Report

Bosnia and Herzegovina (Country Report)

Bosnia and Herzegovina's economic performance remains very weak amid a challenging external environment, while the country's intricate ethnically-based administrative structures prevent a major improvement of the poor business climate.

Country Report

Nicaragua (Country Report)

Benefitting from strong foreign direct investments, Nicaragua's economy posted 4.7% economic growth last year. Still, Nicaragua remains heavily dependent on politically-motivated Venezuelan financial support.

Country Report

Suriname (Country Report)

Benefitting from rising gold prices and foreign investment into its mining sector, Suriname's economic growth strengthened to 4.3% last year. However, the passage of an amendment to the Amnesty Law sparked sharp protests from Western countries.

Country Report

Mexico (Country report)

Reflecting a very gradual US recovery, Mexico's economic growth is expected to cool down to 3.4% this year. Mexican politics are dominated by the July 1st legislative and presidential elections that will likely be won by the opposition.

Country Report

Trinidad and Tobago (Country report)

Trinidad & Tobago's wealthy economy continues to remain in recession, as technical disruptions hampered oil and gas production and regional demand for non-hydrocarbon exports stayed weak. The government responds with fiscal stimulus.

Country Report

Brunei (Country report)

Brunei's hydrocarbon-based economy has embarked on a gradual economic recovery and should benefit from strong Asian demand for its exports, as Japan is shifting its energy mix in the aftermath of the Fukushima nuclear disaster.

Economic Comment

Curaçao and Sint Maarten: Frozen credit

Faced with an unsustainable current account deficit and declining international reserves, the Central Bank of Curaçao and Sint Maarten introduced a six month freeze on private credit extension, but more needs to be done.

Country Report

Dominican Republic (Country report)

Economic growth in the Dominican Republic fell from 7.8% in 2010 to 4.1% last year, as the government had to rein in fiscal stimulus under an IMF standby-agreement. No major policy changes are expected.

Country Report

Bangladesh (Country report)

Bangladesh's economy continues to prove its resilience amid a worsening external environment. Yet, despite strong economic growth it remains one of the world's poorest countries.