RaboResearch - Economic Research

Country Report

South Korea: still going strong

Government stimulus helps South Korea’s economy hold ground against domestic and external headwinds. Tensions with North Korea picked up, but are unlikely to have severe consequences.

Country Report

Argentina: winds of change

Argentina is heading for change as the October 2015 elections are approaching. However, the economic tide will take longer to change as macroeconomic imbalances are large and increasing.

Country Report

Brazil: headwinds intensify

Brazil is experiencing the strongest contraction in the last two decades on the back of an unfavourable environment, a frontloaded adjustment of economic policy and prevailing negative sentiment. Increasing political tensions complicate the situation.

Country Report

Country Report Bulgaria

Growth in Bulgaria remains weak and fiscal balances have been deteriorating, though from a low base. The banking sector has weathered last year’s crisis well, but further measures are necessary to improve its resilience in the future

Country Report

Country Report Luxembourg

Economic growth in Luxembourg remains strong, but international regulatory changes could chal-lenge the country’s economic model and strong fiscal position in the future.

Country Report

Country Report Brazil

Brazil’s economy is in the doldrums and the recent return to sounder macroeconomic policies, though positive in the long term, will weigh heavily on economic activity in 2015.

Country Report

Country Report Uruguay

The ruling Frente Amplio won a third term in office and will now have to strike a balance between high spending needs and sound macroeconomic policies while the economy is slowing down.

Country Report

Country Report Argentina

Argentina’s huge macroeconomic imbalances worsened in 2014 and little improvement is expected in 2015, at least not until a new cabinet takes office in December 2015 after the elections.

Country Report

Country Report Chile

A new government took office in March 2014 and has been pushing through a bold reform agenda. In the meantime, the economy took a downturn, but economic activity is likely to improve in 2015.