RaboResearch - Economic Research

Economic Report

Latin America: turning the populist page

The past year has been tumultuous for Latin American politics, characterised by a shift to the right in election results and away from populism in policy, and numerous corruption scandals. Current risk levels are likely to linger in the coming year.

Economic Comment

Brazil is back to junk

Brazil lost its investment grade with S&P on 9 September. The downgrade underlines Brazil’s enormous fiscal challenges. Political headwinds could further darken the fiscal and economic outlook.

Country Report

Brazil: headwinds intensify

Brazil is experiencing the strongest contraction in the last two decades on the back of an unfavourable environment, a frontloaded adjustment of economic policy and prevailing negative sentiment. Increasing political tensions complicate the situation.