RaboResearch - Economic Research

Country Report

Country Report Zambia

Zambia’s reliance on copper exports takes its toll on its external positions, while populist measures and political tensions could make matters worse.

Country Report

Country Report Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabia’s economic growth is estimated to slow in 2013, but will pick up in 2014. Concerns about succession risks have diminished this year.

Country Report

Country Report Argentina

As her party is unlikely to obtain a two-thirds majority at the congressional elections of late October, Cristina Kirchner is becoming a lame-duck president. Meanwhile, foreign exchange reserves levels continue to decline.

Country Report

Country Report Panama

Economic growth in Panama is strong due to large infrastructure projects. Whether these projects will boost growth structurally, to an extent that it will outweigh the loss of short-term infrastructural investment-driven growth, remains to be seen.

Country Report

Country Report Algeria

Algeria’s hydrocarbon-based economy is facing rising competition from the recent shale gas boom in the US, but thanks to ample fiscal reserves, the impact on the country has been limited so far. Its social climate will likely remain stable, even if President Bouteflika should be re-elected next year.

Country Report

Country Report Lithuania

Following successful internal devaluation and economic rebalancing, Lithuania currently ranks among the EU’s fastest-growing members. Its new government remains committed to fiscal consolidation in order to qualify for euro accession by 2015.

Country Report

Country Report Poland

Benefitting from firming external demand, Poland’s economy gradually turns the corner and its external position improves. Yet, weaker growth left its mark on public finances, forcing the government to take steps to avoid mandatory spending cuts.

Economic Update Dutch version

The Netherlands: signs of stabilisation

The Dutch economy is showing signs of stabilisation in some segments. We expect the recession to end in the second half of this year. But a robust economic recovery is not in the cards yet.

Country Report

Country Report China

Growth in China is rebounding but, unfortunately, still driven by investment growth on the back of government stimulus and credit growth. The government thus still prioritizes on short-term growth, which makes implementing reforms a difficult task.

Economic Report Dutch version

Budget Day: a repetition of moves

Over the past few years the wide variety of headgear – whether making or refraining from political statements – has seemed to have a permanent hold on the headlines on Budget Day.

Economic Report

The Tequila crisis in 1994

In this report we will focus on the crisis of 1994 in Mexico, where a strong devaluation of the peso led to both a currency and banking crisis, while a sovereign crisis was just prevented.

Economic Report

The Mexican 1982 debt crisis

In August 1982, Mexico was the first of many Latin American countries to default on its sovereign debt. This report covers the main characteristics of the Mexican debt crisis as well as its main causes and triggers.