RaboResearch - Economic Research

Country Report

Libya (Country update)

Last February, protests against the Libyan leader Muammar Qaddafi spiralled into a civil war between Qaddafi’s security forces and supporters of the interim Transitional National Council (TNC) that seek to topple Qaddafi’s regime, as well as NATO forces siding with the TNC. The conflict has killed thousands and has crippled the Libyan economy.

Country Report

Norway (Country report)

The economic outlook for the Norwegian economy is solid. As there have been significant fiscal and monetary stimulus measures during the crisis, it’s now time for the government to step back.

Country Report

Czech Republic (Country report)

Despite strong economic growth in the Czech Republic’s main trading partner Germany, the country’s economic recovery remains sluggish amidst ongoing budgetary consolidation and relatively tempered export growth.

Country Report

Slovak Republic (Country report)

The small open economy of Slovakia rebounded comparatively well from the 2009 recession, posting 4% economic growth in 2010 on the back of strongly recovering exports. Domestic demand, however, did not yet contribute to economic growth and its contribution in the coming years will be limited by the government’s austerity measures.

Country Report

Macedonia (Country report)

Economic growth in Macedonia is recovering from the global financial crisis and is expected to increase to around 2-3% in 2011/12.

Country Report

Panama (Country report)

Benefiting from the expansion of the Panama Canal and a series of large-scale public investment projects, the Panamanian economy emerged from the global economic crisis as the bestperforming Central American economy, posting 7.5% economic growth in 2010.

Country Report

Colombia (Country report)

The security situation in Colombia has improved recently on the back of military successes against guerrillas and drug gangs, but the activities of the latter two groups continue to have a sizeable social cost.

Country Report

Thailand (Country report)

The unstable political and social situation remains the largest country risk for Thailand. While the situation has stabilized compared to the large-scale violent riots last year, uncertainty remains until the next general elections.

Country Report

The Philippines (Country report)

The Philippine economy is estimated to grow by 5-6% in 2011. The triple disaster in Japan could adversely affect this estimate, as the country has deep trade and investment links with the Philippines.

Country Report

Country Report Iceland

Economic activity in Iceland continued to fall in 2010. However, in 2011 the economy may slowly begin the recover.

Country Report

France (Country report)

The French economy recovers gradually and the outlook for the coming years is that the economy will stick to this path of moderate economic growth.

Country Report

Greece (Country report)

The Greek austerity and reform programme has been broadly successful in making a running start in 2010. For 2011 the programme is at a cross-roads as the distance yet to cover remains impressive, in terms of both budgetary consolidation and structural reforms.

Country Report

Italy (Country report)

The Italian economy has many structural weaknesses, leading to low economic growth before recession and now to a very sluggish recovery. The government deficit is estimated to have been better than expected in 2010, and compares favourably to a number of other European countries.

Country Report

Luxembourg (Country report)

Luxembourg's solid economic performance and creditworthiness (i.e. ample financial cushion) shall remain underpinned by a strong public sector balance sheet and exceptionally high levels of prosperity (per capita income was USD 90,000 in 2010).

Country Report

Mexico (Country report)

The Mexican economy recovered strongly from the global economic crisis, posting 5.5% real economic growth last year. Benefitting from Mexico’s strong trade linkages with the US, exports initially drove the recovery, while domestic demand remained relatively tempered due to sluggish real wage growth, lower remittances from the US and remaining spare capacity.