RaboResearch - Economic Research

Economic Update

Economic Update Belgium

Declining producer and consumer sentiment points to a very weak pace of economic activity going forward. In addition, the relatively large fiscal adjustment in 2013 will act as a strong headwind to economic growth.

Economic Update

Economic Update The Netherlands

Dutch exports continue to grow and are expected to slowly lift the Dutch economy out of recession. But falling domestic demand continued to outweigh a positive contribution from net trade in the first quarter.

Economic Update

Economic Update Emerging Markets

The news from Emerging Markets is not that bad. South (East) Asia's latest IP data were rather good. Growth in Brazil disappointed in 2012, but a recovery has started. Meanwhile, the policy rate in Mexico and Poland fell to a record low level.

Economic Update

Economic Update France

The weak momentum of 12Q4 seems to have continued into 13Q1.Therefore a new mild recession is likely. A postponement of the budget target would limit the impact on domestic demand this year. The drawback is that a larger effort is needed in 2014.

Economic Update

Economic Update United Kingdom

The Budget 2013 had no surprises as the government opted for a fiscally neutral package. The Bank of England has got extra room to stimulate the economy. This is unlikely to change the outlook without slowing down the pace of fiscal tightening.