RaboResearch - Economic Research

Economic Update

Italy: economic recovery around some corner

In 2014, GDP volume shrank with 0.4%. In 2015, the economy is expected to grow for the first time in four years, albeit very slowly. Initially, the recovery is supported by consumption and foreign demand and next year also by fixed investment.

Economic Update

Italy: once in recession, always in recession?

In 14Q3, GDP volume contracted with 0.1% q-o-q. Investment acted as the largest drag on growth. In 2015, GDP volume is expected to grow slowly after three years of contraction, mostly on the back of foreign demand. Unemployment will remain high.

Economic Update

Italy: Recession, there we go again

In 14Q2, GDP volume contracted, again. Deflation may support consumption going forward, but lower consumer confidence and high unemployment temper expectations. For fixed investment, headwinds outpace tailwinds, so a firm recovery is unlikely.

Economic Update

Italy: a setback, but no game changer

In 14Q1, GDP volume fell again after only one quarter of growth in more than two years. Private consumption, however, did increase for the first time since 2010. Underlying data suggest the economy will muddle through during the rest of the year.

Economic Update

Italy: goodbye recession, hello stagnation

In 13Q4, Italy’s recession officially came to an end. Looking forward, the economic outlook has improved somewhat, but GDP growth will greatly depend on exports. Meanwhile, in Rome the game of musical chairs was won by the centre-left democrat Renzi.

Economic Update

Conjunctuurbeelden: altijd up to date! (Dutch)

Conjunctuurbeelden zijn onze periodieke publicaties met de actuele conjuncturele ontwikkelingen in de beschreven (industrie-)landen. Daarbij kijken we ook naar onder meer het (economische) beleid van de desbetreffende overheden en het sentiment onder ondernemers.